{"ticker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JRAT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?","description":"If John Ratcliffe leaves as Director of the CIA before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":20,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":24,"spread":3,"volume":7592.86,"volume24h":10,"openInterest":3976.11,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":243,"iyYes":565.4623407179755,"iyNo":39.95656020775951,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":8.4,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.432,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":228,"askDepthUsd":591,"volume24h":10,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.35},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T19:16:14.807Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT","connectedTitle":"Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?: Kash Patel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027?: Tul","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RFK","connectedTitle":"Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027?: Robert F. Kenne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?: Susie Wiles","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PNAV","connectedTitle":"Will Peter Navarro leaves Senior Counselor to the President for Trade and Manufa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-HLUT","connectedTitle":"Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?: Howard Lutnick","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent leaves Secretary of the Treasury in before 2027?: Scott Besse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA","connectedTitle":"Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027?: Karoli","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JGRE","connectedTitle":"Will Jamieson Greer leaves United States Trade Representative in before 2027?: J","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-THOM","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?: Tom Homan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL","connectedTitle":"Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?: Lee Zeldin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SDUF","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Duffy leaves Secretary of Transportation in before 2027?: Sean Duffy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LMCM","connectedTitle":"Will Linda McMahon leaves Secretary of Education in before 2027?: Linda McMahon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RVOU","connectedTitle":"Will Russell Vought leaves OMB Director in before 2027?: Russell Vought","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Stephen Miller leaves Deputy Chief of Staff in before 2027?: Stephen Miller","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-AGLE","connectedTitle":"Will Amy Gleason leaves Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service in before 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIT","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Witkoff leaves Special Envoy to the Middle East in before 2027?: Stev","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Huckabee leaves Ambassador to Israel in before 2027?: Mike Huckabee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MOZ","connectedTitle":"Will Mehmet Oz leaves CMS Administrator in before 2027?: Mehmet Oz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Brendan Carr leaves Chairman of the FCC in before 2027?: Brendan Carr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?: Bill Pulte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BROL","connectedTitle":"Will Brooke Rollins leaves Secretary of Agriculture in before 2027?: Brooke Roll","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-CWRI","connectedTitle":"Will Chris Wright leaves Secretary of Energy in before 2027?: Chris Wright","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-STUR","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Turner leaves Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in before 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-DBUR","connectedTitle":"Will Doug Burgum leaves Secretary of the Interior in before 2027?: Doug Burgum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-DCOL","connectedTitle":"Will Doug Collins leaves Secretary of Veterans Affairs in before 2027?: Doug Col","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLOE","connectedTitle":"Will Kelly Loeffler leaves Administrator of the Small Business Administration in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027?: Todd Blanche","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RSCO","connectedTitle":"Will Rodney Scott leaves CBP Commissioner in before 2027?: Rodney Scott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:05:13.847Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1128.80151753178,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:10:13.943Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1023.1241343898395,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T14:10:33.284Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1131.3399090470277,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:41:00.039Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1039.0948099608172,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:51:16.049Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1146.4704696946758,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T06:20:31.688Z","priceCents":14,"iy":871.2087570496026,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T07:05:36.425Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1152.106011485949,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:20:46.761Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1048.3658287573405,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:20:36.607Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1157.0442212791422,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:40:37.440Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1048.764273577279,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:40:39.612Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1157.4841137665962,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:05:15.221Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1049.1753586206808,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:05:26.132Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1157.9425017475185,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:10:44.861Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1049.533264845733,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:35:44.189Z","priceCents":13,"iy":957.858451113776,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:29.380Z","priceCents":19,"iy":610.7604147923632,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:40:28.838Z","priceCents":18,"iy":652.6763218276508,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:36.569Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.5159382033835,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:27.390Z","priceCents":18,"iy":652.7736884003448,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":19,"iy":611.0674199685631,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:40:31.086Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.2096316229412,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T13:55:26.747Z","priceCents":20,"iy":579.263938042564,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T14:45:14.504Z","priceCents":21,"iy":544.8574414091656,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T02:05:13.581Z","priceCents":22,"iy":514.4733812882038,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T03:05:11.926Z","priceCents":21,"iy":545.971004745697,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T03:25:11.557Z","priceCents":22,"iy":514.5858984304679,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T14:05:59.154Z","priceCents":21,"iy":546.9692667197419,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T15:16:00.514Z","priceCents":22,"iy":515.5987175047846,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T16:05:58.509Z","priceCents":21,"iy":547.1523504780729,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T17:55:59.957Z","priceCents":20,"iy":581.9584896184185,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T19:15:36.565Z","priceCents":19,"iy":620.3812391173611,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T07:06:05.368Z","priceCents":20,"iy":583.2347959477165,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T01:05:35.354Z","priceCents":19,"iy":623.4709777581237,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T01:10:46.560Z","priceCents":20,"iy":584.994490634078,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T02:25:35.380Z","priceCents":19,"iy":623.6109022330397,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T03:10:46.032Z","priceCents":20,"iy":585.1891042598561,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T03:35:43.949Z","priceCents":19,"iy":623.7333876792561,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T03:45:47.278Z","priceCents":20,"iy":585.2454022159155,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T00:50:37.292Z","priceCents":19,"iy":625.9539366500318,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T01:00:38.527Z","priceCents":20,"iy":587.3313433796494,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T03:45:35.935Z","priceCents":21,"iy":552.6245786560999,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:25:34.684Z","priceCents":19,"iy":628.2258595740432,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:05:34.755Z","priceCents":18,"iy":671.3899499227891,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:15:30.686Z","priceCents":19,"iy":628.314643992226,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:25:10.801Z","priceCents":18,"iy":674.4919450833302,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T03:35:20.773Z","priceCents":19,"iy":631.3227027402161,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:51:08.489Z","priceCents":20,"iy":596.6148238351709,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T07:05:35.326Z","priceCents":19,"iy":636.867760920295,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:20:37.506Z","priceCents":20,"iy":598.1939459494894,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T14:05:26.546Z","priceCents":21,"iy":564.9737439547222,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 565%","31 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 18c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JRAT","marketTitle":"Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":18},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT","reason":"Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG","reason":"Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TGAB","reason":"Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20John%20Ratcliffe%20leaves%20Director%20of%20the%20CIA%20in%20before%20202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2049}