{"ticker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-STUR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Scott Turner leaves Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in before 2027?","description":"If Scott Turner leaves as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":20,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":20,"spread":6,"volume":5492.92,"volume24h":9.46,"openInterest":1845.59,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":1091.6300737488036,"iyNo":33.995400220550984,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4,"cvr":null,"overround":7.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":568,"askDepthUsd":622,"volume24h":9.46,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T03:51:51.952Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-AGLE","connectedTitle":"Will Amy Gleason leaves Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service in before 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Brendan Carr leaves Chairman of the FCC in before 2027?: Brendan Carr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?: Bill Pulte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BROL","connectedTitle":"Will Brooke Rollins leaves Secretary of Agriculture in before 2027?: Brooke Roll","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-CWRI","connectedTitle":"Will Chris Wright leaves Secretary of Energy in before 2027?: Chris Wright","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-DBUR","connectedTitle":"Will Doug Burgum leaves Secretary of the Interior in before 2027?: Doug Burgum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-DCOL","connectedTitle":"Will Doug Collins leaves Secretary of Veterans Affairs in before 2027?: Doug Col","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-HLUT","connectedTitle":"Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?: Howard Lutnick","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JGRE","connectedTitle":"Will Jamieson Greer leaves United States Trade Representative in before 2027?: J","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-JRAT","connectedTitle":"Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?: John Ratcliffe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLEA","connectedTitle":"Will Karoline Leavitt leaves White House Press Secretary in before 2027?: Karoli","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KLOE","connectedTitle":"Will Kelly Loeffler leaves Administrator of the Small Business Administration in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT","connectedTitle":"Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?: Kash Patel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LMCM","connectedTitle":"Will Linda McMahon leaves Secretary of Education in before 2027?: Linda McMahon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL","connectedTitle":"Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?: Lee Zeldin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MHUC","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Huckabee leaves Ambassador to Israel in before 2027?: Mike Huckabee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MOZ","connectedTitle":"Will Mehmet Oz leaves CMS Administrator in before 2027?: Mehmet Oz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?: Pete Hegseth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-PNAV","connectedTitle":"Will Peter Navarro leaves Senior Counselor to the President for Trade and Manufa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RFK","connectedTitle":"Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027?: Robert F. Kenne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RSCO","connectedTitle":"Will Rodney Scott leaves CBP Commissioner in before 2027?: Rodney Scott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-RVOU","connectedTitle":"Will Russell Vought leaves OMB Director in before 2027?: Russell Vought","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent leaves Secretary of the Treasury in before 2027?: Scott Besse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SDUF","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Duffy leaves Secretary of Transportation in before 2027?: Sean Duffy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Stephen Miller leaves Deputy Chief of Staff in before 2027?: Stephen Miller","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?: Susie Wiles","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-SWIT","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Witkoff leaves Special Envoy to the Middle East in before 2027?: Stev","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027?: Todd Blanche","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-THOM","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?: Tom Homan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26JUN-SCHE","connectedTitle":"Will Steven Cheung be out as White House Communications Director before 2027?: S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T04:45:28.515Z","priceCents":21,"iy":665.1755292914838,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T06:45:28.353Z","priceCents":20,"iy":707.5597427584169,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T14:30:55.632Z","priceCents":21,"iy":666.48961411095,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T17:15:47.278Z","priceCents":20,"iy":709.0648600082562,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T17:30:30.283Z","priceCents":21,"iy":666.89100662728,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:45:27.898Z","priceCents":20,"iy":709.2784306486012,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T20:00:42.715Z","priceCents":21,"iy":667.2312736747356,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T23:15:39.310Z","priceCents":20,"iy":709.9268191874742,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T23:45:54.533Z","priceCents":21,"iy":667.7374549419058,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T02:45:48.459Z","priceCents":20,"iy":710.4311733306084,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T03:01:47.271Z","priceCents":21,"iy":668.1793682153784,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:00:50.204Z","priceCents":20,"iy":711.9103578080963,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:30:29.836Z","priceCents":21,"iy":669.6033073550008,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:45:55.545Z","priceCents":20,"iy":712.017985769394,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:15:50.633Z","priceCents":21,"iy":669.7045496245614,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:45:58.109Z","priceCents":20,"iy":712.1638562209465,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T17:00:55.073Z","priceCents":21,"iy":670.0803933802983,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T19:15:56.839Z","priceCents":20,"iy":712.8140531778813,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T19:30:28.514Z","priceCents":21,"iy":670.4206503045433,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T00:15:44.009Z","priceCents":20,"iy":713.5421503032554,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T04:00:39.252Z","priceCents":21,"iy":671.5814269480811,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T07:15:33.598Z","priceCents":20,"iy":714.5583931245778,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T12:16:05.008Z","priceCents":21,"iy":672.7132706369698,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:31:15.505Z","priceCents":20,"iy":716.6417969056781,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T00:15:53.123Z","priceCents":21,"iy":674.3652115018384,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T01:15:30.432Z","priceCents":20,"iy":717.1909692885072,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T01:31:49.198Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1613.7668806893264,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T02:45:35.440Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2062.5623436801325,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T14:45:32.652Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1817.9270650835956,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:15:33.420Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2067.846040918473,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:45:36.317Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1818.670626511909,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:46:00.213Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2069.3446130485795,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:30:35.297Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1820.0698108968568,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T13:01:32.637Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1625.577735770628,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T16:30:45.958Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1462.4345427174046,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T20:31:06.943Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1628.0994602738776,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T01:15:38.495Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1465.0754163186446,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T01:30:46.111Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1830.9869248294838,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T02:30:46.806Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1663.1227217496964,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T04:45:38.588Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1495.8424007890646,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:16:58.357Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1403.9394225490505,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:31:01.869Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1281.284649762021,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T03:16:22.932Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1177.0520227745878,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:16:19.132Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1086.2809975228242,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:16:07.928Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1178.8591017386575,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:01:51.965Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1088.3673612572793,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:46:05.572Z","priceCents":16,"iy":1010.0570850266448,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:30:59.278Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1090.640006187031,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:46:27.146Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1182.8767381392017,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:02:35.477Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1091.4802970655805,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1092%","31 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7","illiquid (LAS 0.40)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-AGLE","reason":"Will Amy Gleason leaves Acting Administrator of the US DOGE "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BCAR","reason":"Will Brendan Carr leaves Chairman of the FCC in before 2027?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL","reason":"Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?: Bill P"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Scott%20Turner%20leaves%20Secretary%20of%20Housing%20and%20Urban%20Deve","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":153}