{"ticker":"KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?","description":"If **ALL** of the following occur:\n\n1. Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND\n2. Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND\n3. U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND\n4. The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026\n\nthen the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":7,"spread":2,"volume":498248.09,"volume24h":69.24,"openInterest":188692.3,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":554,"iyYes":1252.526274154251,"iyNo":3.4696018674633002,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":23415,"askDepthUsd":12616,"volume24h":69.24,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T22:57:47.864Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T00:30:26.568Z","priceCents":6,"iy":991.7262685193534,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:00:45.329Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1204.4300796643224,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T17:15:48.401Z","priceCents":6,"iy":994.6553581513036,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:45:28.468Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1209.2204146396748,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T15:16:03.894Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1003.2357349586277,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T16:45:32.238Z","priceCents":9,"iy":649.8292131833063,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:31:47.289Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1006.9349674382295,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T01:02:24.076Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1221.8498824839405,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:01:24.602Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1008.5261761190642,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:15:45.905Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1223.2183960758234,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:01:36.824Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1008.7485637607886,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T05:02:35.943Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1224.3672925328601,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T15:15:33.633Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1010.3258779469801,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T16:30:45.958Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1225.4014139383003,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T02:16:11.851Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1011.1458867493031,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T04:15:33.561Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1226.4611423154736,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T18:45:38.858Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1012.3757103006204,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:00:28.020Z","priceCents":7,"iy":859.9930329036955,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T19:16:23.904Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1014.2089761189405,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T15:31:22.377Z","priceCents":7,"iy":861.3632707291783,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T16:30:31.926Z","priceCents":8,"iy":745.6429405066641,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:15:44.889Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1015.8593678755128,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:30:32.148Z","priceCents":7,"iy":861.4902804760592,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:15:50.708Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1236.1170773094534,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T15:30:35.042Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1019.3489120507777,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T17:30:33.653Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1236.4167981529517,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1253%"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 6c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26","marketTitle":"Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":6},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20bull%20case%20for%20Trump%20occur%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":179}