{"ticker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-VAT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Donald Trump visit Vatican City before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Vatican City after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":13,"spread":5,"volume":2563.06,"volume24h":20,"openInterest":2021.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":255,"iyYes":1649.0143235407352,"iyNo":12.46891738027021,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":6.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":543,"askDepthUsd":681,"volume24h":20},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T01:59:22.858Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ISR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?: Israel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-SA","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?: Saudi Arabia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ITA","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Italy before Jan 1, 2027?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CHI","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?: China","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-UKR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?: Ukraine","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-RUS","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?: Russia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-QAT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Qatar before Jan 1, 2027?: Qatar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-HUN","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?: Hungary","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-NK","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?: North Korea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-TAI","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?: Taiwan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-VEN","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?: Venezuela","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-IND","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?: India","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-POL","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?: Poland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-DEN","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?: Denmark","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-PAL","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) before Jan 1, 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CUB","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?: Cuba","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-TUR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?: Turkey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-JAP","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-PAKI","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan before Jan 1, 2027?: Pakistan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:08:15.030Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1570.662016733771,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:22:48.505Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1814.621535540281,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:00:34.753Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1595.504080461299,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:20:33.481Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1402.8850056660253,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:25:33.862Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1595.6071860293616,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:05:35.555Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1415.155434895607,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:48.417Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1612.3827925432818,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:11:12.113Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1418.1244977964955,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:10:50.252Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1614.7273909313678,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:40:17.015Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1427.1455413464023,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:00:17.402Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1623.2698978664491,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:25:39.192Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1151.418742126862,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:35:16.708Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1636.6053743820084,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1649%","23 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ISR","reason":"Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?: Israel"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-SA","reason":"Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?: Sa"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CAN","reason":"Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?: Canada"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donald%20Trump%20visit%20Vatican%20City%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4627}