{"ticker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will 1 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?","description":"If the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":13,"spread":4,"volume":829.44,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":478.22,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-16T13:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":130,"iyYes":2832.222273383847,"iyNo":27.703176445367898,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4444,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.16,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":506,"askDepthUsd":322,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:40:58.271Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T0","connectedTitle":"Will 0 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T2","connectedTitle":"Will 2 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T3","connectedTitle":"Will 3 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 3","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T4","connectedTitle":"Will 4 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T5","connectedTitle":"Will 5 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T6","connectedTitle":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T7","connectedTitle":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T8","connectedTitle":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T9","connectedTitle":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T10","connectedTitle":"Will the number of Trump-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:21:13.947Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4373.51798597447,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:15:40.080Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3628.0848237983746,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T17:15:35.082Z","priceCents":7,"iy":3111.2487981661543,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:45:32.253Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3840.797757538307,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T01:10:23.213Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3120.02913761577,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:31:16.402Z","priceCents":9,"iy":2819.499408342289,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:05:37.077Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3214.5291356190505,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:31.453Z","priceCents":9,"iy":2826.3875592996797,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:05:27.878Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3220.6953172356107,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:10:24.754Z","priceCents":9,"iy":2831.8093654752015,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2832%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 10.1","illiquid (LAS 0.44)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T0","reason":"Will 0 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T2","reason":"Will 2 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T3","reason":"Will 3 Trump-endorsed candidates lose their primaries?: 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%201%20Trump-endorsed%20candidates%20lose%20their%20primaries%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":107}