{"ticker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-NOVE","venue":"kalshi","title":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?","description":"If Donald Trump says November 5 as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":19,"spread":2,"volume":2828.33,"volume24h":174.49,"openInterest":2492.66,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-04-26T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":4,"iyYes":41481.816190163205,"iyNo":1740.201027573983,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1176,"cvr":null,"overround":7.9,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":480,"askDepthUsd":562,"volume24h":174.49,"observability":"low","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T07:04:56.064Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-SLEE","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Sleepy Jo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-BARA","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Barack Hu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-FAKE","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Fake News","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-HOTT","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Hottest","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-EPIC","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Epic Fury","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-OIL","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-STOC","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Stock Mar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-CRYP","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Crypto / ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-BALL","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Ballroom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-RADI","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Radical L","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-NQE","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Event doe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Tariff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-AI","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: AI / Arti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-AFFO","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Affordabl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-HIGH","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Highest I","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-AUTO","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Autopen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-TRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Transgend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-SAVE","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Save Amer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-CHIN","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: China","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-IRAN","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-ISRA","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Israel / ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.219Z","priceCents":17,"iy":37033.64138672925,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:35:28.942Z","priceCents":18,"iy":34576.37300432061,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:46.665Z","priceCents":16,"iy":39880.33298647242,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:50:28.777Z","priceCents":14,"iy":46730.7806824272,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:28.242Z","priceCents":15,"iy":43135.21028849496,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:27.982Z","priceCents":14,"iy":46867.53463927377,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:27.925Z","priceCents":18,"iy":34778.870064375194,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:31.642Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41006.847849347316,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:27.558Z","priceCents":14,"iy":48011.62434995411,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:00:33.609Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41068.3669095585,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:05:47.974Z","priceCents":15,"iy":44356.27993423404,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:30.249Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41130.07083065035,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:20:30.013Z","priceCents":14,"iy":48197.39589730991,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:31.840Z","priceCents":15,"iy":44489.85444898544,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:28.217Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41307.3938348782,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:45:36.458Z","priceCents":15,"iy":44624.23588637182,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:34.527Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41594.313001953546,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":14,"iy":48699.88829589177,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:28.317Z","priceCents":15,"iy":44963.76811594204,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:40:30.389Z","priceCents":14,"iy":48774.04518474781,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:45:32.146Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45032.29552217143,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:50:28.010Z","priceCents":14,"iy":48848.428260192966,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:55:28.618Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45101.03212676261,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:10:30.312Z","priceCents":14,"iy":48997.87712287713,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:31.220Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41903.56439973758,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:22:00.476Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45278.75072971396,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:25:32.774Z","priceCents":16,"iy":41967.80551905388,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:30:30.464Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45338.301914365045,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:35:29.217Z","priceCents":16,"iy":42032.243913138846,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:45:48.158Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45437.90275336849,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:50:31.946Z","priceCents":14,"iy":49299.53511747706,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:00:53.052Z","priceCents":16,"iy":42198.85487778022,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:05:29.504Z","priceCents":14,"iy":49408.17225964868,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:10:28.099Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45618.29142773122,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:15:28.908Z","priceCents":16,"iy":42291.98852350475,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:21:12.689Z","priceCents":14,"iy":49528.22746063302,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:25:55.453Z","priceCents":16,"iy":42357.42705570292,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:30:28.077Z","priceCents":14,"iy":49593.95835308243,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:40:31.086Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45820.41057450893,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:50:28.906Z","priceCents":14,"iy":49748.011030460555,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:55:29.471Z","priceCents":15,"iy":45932.34140202828,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:15:33.570Z","priceCents":16,"iy":42687.6809979951,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:25:51.357Z","priceCents":15,"iy":46147.55317566563,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:36:06.774Z","priceCents":14,"iy":50103.75099760574,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:45:30.118Z","priceCents":15,"iy":46292.15159653835,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:50:28.232Z","priceCents":14,"iy":50215.96544552872,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:05:32.944Z","priceCents":16,"iy":43023.125280646615,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:10:33.671Z","priceCents":15,"iy":46468.95828652738,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:10:31.100Z","priceCents":16,"iy":43462.23633476979,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:15:36.878Z","priceCents":17,"iy":40446.18301246963,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 41482%","21 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 15c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-NOVE","marketTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":15},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-SLEE","reason":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-BARA","reason":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-FAKE","reason":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Donald%20Trump%20say%20during%20White%20House%20Correspondents","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4329}