{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EADA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Eric Adams has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":9,"spread":5,"volume":2181.52,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1579.52,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":3693.21056359405,"iyNo":6.41182389512856,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.25,"cvr":null,"overround":2.29,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1835,"askDepthUsd":1219,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T10:37:55.725Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x30efbe1580dacf2bf87a89bdb1015e3f3398f8bc7e4453210e83bbdbb0f621b9","venue":"polymarket","title":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Eric Adams","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Donald Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Keonne ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Derek Chau","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Sam Ba","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Jared Kush","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Steve Banno","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Ghisla","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Bob Menende","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Julian As","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Edward Sn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Larry ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Joseph ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Torence Ha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KPET","connectedTitle":"Will Kenneth Petty receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Kenneth Pe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","connectedTitle":"Will Nicolás Maduro receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Nicolás M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Martin Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ABOC","connectedTitle":"Will Aimee Bock receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Aimee Bock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Elizabe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Tim Leissne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKIR","connectedTitle":"Will John Kiriakou receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: John Kiria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BJK","connectedTitle":"Will Braden John Karony receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Brade","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NDAE","connectedTitle":"Will Nicole Daedone receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Nicole Da","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RCHE","connectedTitle":"Will Rachel Cherwitz receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Rachel C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TALE","connectedTitle":"Will Tal Alexander receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Tal Alexan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T02:35:53.661Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2602.0854204422226,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T03:20:53.920Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4428.642012370928,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T06:40:55.235Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3288.9426199656837,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T07:05:53.598Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4431.23605265167,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:15:32.025Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3291.8223017203163,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:40:42.858Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4435.099481266858,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:50:51.838Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3298.8386280446475,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:10:49.020Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4444.503026605507,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:20:43.909Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3310.007103668214,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:30:37.072Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4459.433077015122,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T00:20:51.753Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3310.519970825098,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T00:40:21.150Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4460.242053638805,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:35:45.151Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3324.793623683461,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:55:44.595Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4479.473875323735,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:15:12.927Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3326.1949241354173,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:35:12.546Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4481.344922429255,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T12:10:35.598Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3329.3047225959453,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T12:30:33.992Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4485.551974377686,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T16:10:35.006Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3331.4191617449637,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T16:31:06.398Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4488.400897046315,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:35:34.934Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3332.699258132014,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T19:05:35.804Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4490.245241836581,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T00:20:34.626Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3335.7323189051485,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T00:45:38.146Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4494.280756405033,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:20:10.093Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3338.910889956968,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:45:21.437Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4498.546437756026,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T12:10:56.378Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3342.019022039776,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T12:35:33.026Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4502.734325321124,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:06:11.591Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6829.698592054868,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:35:51.355Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4507.033288778563,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:10:13.943Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3348.3934591656534,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:40:28.412Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4511.392205058417,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:20:32.403Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3351.685982223821,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:45:34.123Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4515.7768398873,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:15:36.309Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3354.8564994600065,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:40:32.432Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4520.031508085757,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:40:33.182Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7072.272815345863,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:55:32.438Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4666.940843674289,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:30:33.488Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7073.2517579314535,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:45:35.193Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4667.586868794733,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:15:34.188Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7075.294424818321,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:35:34.998Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4668.990282223022,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:40:28.763Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7075.770283742938,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:05:32.747Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4669.378216338406,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:50:32.076Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7077.142235324376,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T22:10:31.834Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4670.209720842683,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T00:46:00.110Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3625.932870571581,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T07:36:45.826Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7411.689624877751,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T09:05:22.478Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4891.963666409668,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T10:40:13.112Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3632.141968654117,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3693%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 1.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x30efbe1580dacf2bf87a89bdb1015e3f3398f8bc7e4453210e83bbdbb0f621b9","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT","reason":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD","reason":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before J"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU","reason":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Eric%20Adams%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20Jan%201%2C%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":130}