{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Ghislaine Maxwell has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":16,"bestBid":16,"bestAsk":17,"spread":1,"volume":44902.73,"volume24h":21,"openInterest":22803.3,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":807.4642777382151,"iyNo":29.295756108415972,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0625,"cvr":null,"overround":2.29,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":837,"askDepthUsd":4291,"volume24h":21,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:24:47.982Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","venue":"polymarket","title":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Ghislaine Maxwell","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Donald Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Keonne ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Derek Chau","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Sam Ba","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Jared Kush","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Steve Banno","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Bob Menende","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Julian As","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Edward Sn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Larry ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Joseph ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Torence Ha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KPET","connectedTitle":"Will Kenneth Petty receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Kenneth Pe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","connectedTitle":"Will Nicolás Maduro receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Nicolás M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Martin Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ABOC","connectedTitle":"Will Aimee Bock receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Aimee Bock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Elizabe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Tim Leissne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKIR","connectedTitle":"Will John Kiriakou receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: John Kiria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BJK","connectedTitle":"Will Braden John Karony receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Brade","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NDAE","connectedTitle":"Will Nicole Daedone receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Nicole Da","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RCHE","connectedTitle":"Will Rachel Cherwitz receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Rachel C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TALE","connectedTitle":"Will Tal Alexander receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Tal Alexan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:10:32.191Z","priceCents":16,"iy":773.0929365630094,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:25:34.684Z","priceCents":15,"iy":835.0458164944763,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:15:43.264Z","priceCents":16,"iy":774.0172555862538,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:25:30.532Z","priceCents":15,"iy":835.4674443717366,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:40:29.844Z","priceCents":16,"iy":774.1986311885388,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:05:32.772Z","priceCents":15,"iy":835.7037420133389,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:10:49.102Z","priceCents":16,"iy":774.2674510691255,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:15:30.032Z","priceCents":15,"iy":835.727379129308,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:35:19.090Z","priceCents":16,"iy":774.7119466343239,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:40:19.565Z","priceCents":17,"iy":720.4691480104515,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:10:49.908Z","priceCents":15,"iy":836.701038156534,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:15:50.754Z","priceCents":17,"iy":720.9063311971471,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:20:56.974Z","priceCents":16,"iy":775.8568334109358,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:25:13.065Z","priceCents":15,"iy":838.1488055197603,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:05:20.169Z","priceCents":14,"iy":909.1451486867934,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:10:10.387Z","priceCents":15,"iy":838.6789826100827,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:05:09.953Z","priceCents":14,"iy":909.451223398769,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:25:10.801Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1197.9287283111657,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T03:30:10.260Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1085.9613462674981,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T04:05:11.629Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1198.264112386366,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T04:50:09.435Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1086.2037247454252,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T09:35:25.337Z","priceCents":13,"iy":992.0569835281988,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:10.592Z","priceCents":14,"iy":911.3253440187851,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:50:10.126Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1088.044920130999,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:45:10.198Z","priceCents":13,"iy":993.0894981450132,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:45:12.439Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1088.3988609085895,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:20:23.902Z","priceCents":13,"iy":996.7365548854843,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:10:59.052Z","priceCents":14,"iy":915.6574210256413,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:31:00.212Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1093.5435987525705,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:31:09.540Z","priceCents":13,"iy":998.1253913292746,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:16:00.779Z","priceCents":17,"iy":728.5187370834915,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:40:45.729Z","priceCents":16,"iy":785.8411216869594,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T16:35:59.400Z","priceCents":17,"iy":733.5597977752763,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:15:56.016Z","priceCents":16,"iy":790.2420315973095,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:15:49.765Z","priceCents":17,"iy":736.9299830161901,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:35:50.216Z","priceCents":16,"iy":792.467577582214,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:40:51.655Z","priceCents":17,"iy":736.9817925722841,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:55:50.535Z","priceCents":16,"iy":792.5101842469861,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T22:35:49.003Z","priceCents":17,"iy":737.3538161680431,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T00:16:06.657Z","priceCents":16,"iy":793.1038764310015,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T02:36:37.558Z","priceCents":18,"iy":688.4752056914565,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T06:31:01.944Z","priceCents":17,"iy":738.3619940623947,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T10:55:15.882Z","priceCents":15,"iy":857.6246354576992,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:00:29.302Z","priceCents":16,"iy":795.5371043072132,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:05:15.294Z","priceCents":15,"iy":858.6892292278163,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:10:15.611Z","priceCents":16,"iy":795.5602238570503,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:15:15.385Z","priceCents":15,"iy":858.7141844913866,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T19:45:14.980Z","priceCents":16,"iy":795.7782742668252,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T14:00:55.800Z","priceCents":15,"iy":865.2630023022549,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:25:22.173Z","priceCents":16,"iy":802.5371271578981,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 807%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 14c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","marketTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":14},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT","reason":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD","reason":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before J"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU","reason":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ghislaine%20Maxwell%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":99}