{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Roger Ver has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":14,"spread":2,"volume":1958.97,"volume24h":72.5,"openInterest":1139.87,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":1413.3093968354544,"iyNo":26.280546635370015,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":1.99,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":77,"askDepthUsd":1958,"volume24h":72.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:51:14.868Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Donald Trum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Keonne ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Derek Chau","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Sam Ba","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Jared Kush","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Steve Banno","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Ghisla","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Bob Menende","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Julian As","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Edward Sn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Larry ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Joseph ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Torence Ha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KPET","connectedTitle":"Will Kenneth Petty receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Kenneth Pe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","connectedTitle":"Will Nicolás Maduro receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Nicolás M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Martin Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-ABOC","connectedTitle":"Will Aimee Bock receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Aimee Bock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Elizabe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Tim Leissne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JKIR","connectedTitle":"Will John Kiriakou receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: John Kiria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BJK","connectedTitle":"Will Braden John Karony receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Brade","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NDAE","connectedTitle":"Will Nicole Daedone receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Nicole Da","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RCHE","connectedTitle":"Will Rachel Cherwitz receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Rachel C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-TALE","connectedTitle":"Will Tal Alexander receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Tal Alexan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-JLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Jho Low receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Jho Low","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-CJAV","connectedTitle":"Will Charlie Javice receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Charlie J","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:20.452Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2218.104094393414,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T09:30:27.705Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1950.2483401400368,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T17:15:30.505Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1717.2882821119729,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T17:00:57.269Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2266.9111774181047,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T06:15:25.791Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2744.396024905134,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:16:03.227Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1383.0686901151064,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1413%","31 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 12c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-RVER","marketTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":12},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DJT","reason":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-KROD","reason":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before J"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-DCHAU","reason":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Roger%20Ver%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":111}