{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","description":"If Barron Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":50,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":49,"spread":5,"volume":68388.52,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":41265.7,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":849,"iyYes":54.701058181801066,"iyNo":33.76953081631596,"cri":1.273,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":10.59,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T09:23:02.307Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Alex Mas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Brian Co","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bob Menend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Derek Cha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Hale receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Daniel Hale","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DKWO","connectedTitle":"Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DWAY","connectedTitle":"Will DeAndre Way receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: DeAndre Way","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elizab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Elon Musk receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Edward S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ETRU","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ghisl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-HBID","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Biden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Hunter Bid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Julian A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JGIU","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Giudice receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joe Giudice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jared Kus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Jho Low receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jho Low","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joseph","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Muyet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jose Muyet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JSUN","connectedTitle":"Will Justin Sun receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Justin Sun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: JD Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jeffery Williams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jeffer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kisean Anderson receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Kisean ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Keonne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Larry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Leon Stanton receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Leon Stant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Martin S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PBON","connectedTitle":"Will Pam Bondi receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pam Bondi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Hegse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PMIC","connectedTitle":"Will Prakazrel Michel receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Prakaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Rose receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Rose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Steve Bann","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Scott Bes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sam B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SSAM","connectedTitle":"Will Safaree Samuels receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Safaree","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-STEL","connectedTitle":"Will Sebastian Telfair receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sebas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Susie Wiles receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Susie Wiles","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Todd Blanche receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Todd Blanc","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Garbin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ty Garbin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Torence H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tim Leissn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TTH","connectedTitle":"Will Tou Thao receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tou Thao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T07:31:12.424Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.734109293528476,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T07:46:16.607Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.729418125256906,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T08:02:09.998Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.73537867041718,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T08:16:53.604Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.73058193858217,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T08:45:59.368Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.737109741272334,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T09:02:09.879Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.732355475311316,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T09:15:59.393Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.73832156115813,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T09:31:11.742Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.73346400132449,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T09:47:44.820Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.739591148841654,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T10:15:59.928Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.73518231631424,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T10:31:09.876Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.74132250716982,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T10:46:11.461Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.736346404993455,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T11:03:56.235Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.742649961908256,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T11:15:59.775Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.7374551125813,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T11:31:11.024Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.74374660734136,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T11:45:59.917Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.73861930984039,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T12:01:28.663Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.74495874428535,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T12:16:01.181Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.739783562719424,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T12:32:01.141Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.74617093914037,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T12:46:04.255Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.74094787122242,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T13:32:03.282Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.74859550260006,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T13:46:02.442Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.74327665511617,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T14:31:13.804Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.75096256184287,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T15:16:03.843Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.74671479046555,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T15:31:36.188Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.75338758320586,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T15:46:05.267Z","priceCents":46,"iy":48.74787943014595,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T16:46:56.469Z","priceCents":45,"iy":50.75639031171124,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T03:16:00.419Z","priceCents":49,"iy":43.24447536436694,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T22:15:59.680Z","priceCents":50,"iy":41.58610545552736,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:19.976Z","priceCents":51,"iy":44.31325277629134,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T13:47:14.765Z","priceCents":50,"iy":42.6875122068742,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T14:01:08.328Z","priceCents":51,"iy":44.43037926645312,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T14:16:59.448Z","priceCents":52,"iy":46.245940688240964,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T13:32:40.302Z","priceCents":44,"iy":54.58427240179665,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T15:46:16.867Z","priceCents":46,"iy":50.35186527220357,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T16:01:03.883Z","priceCents":45,"iy":52.42457455140103,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T08:01:17.503Z","priceCents":43,"iy":56.902543870548506,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:31:23.187Z","priceCents":44,"iy":54.67253877550847,"cri":1.273}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["51 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 45c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","marketTitle":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":45},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","reason":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","reason":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA","reason":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Barron%20Trump%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20Jan%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":120}