{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","description":"If Donald Trump Jr. has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":54,"bestBid":54,"bestAsk":57,"spread":3,"volume":12287.3,"volume24h":2721.26,"openInterest":9017.02,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":988,"iyYes":31.460141424859223,"iyNo":43.354334780193525,"cri":1.174,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0556,"cvr":null,"overround":12.22,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":1263,"askDepthUsd":948,"volume24h":2721.26},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:26:27.845Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Larry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joseph","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Torence H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ghisl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sam B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-HBID","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Biden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Hunter Bid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Julian A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Edward S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Derek Cha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TTH","connectedTitle":"Will Tou Thao receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tou Thao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Leon Stanton receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Leon Stant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Muyet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jose Muyet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Hale receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Daniel Hale","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JSUN","connectedTitle":"Will Justin Sun receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Justin Sun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jeffery Williams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jeffer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jared Kus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","connectedTitle":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Barron Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DKWO","connectedTitle":"Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Alex Mas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Garbin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ty Garbin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Rose receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Rose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PMIC","connectedTitle":"Will Prakazrel Michel receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Prakaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bob Menend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JGIU","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Giudice receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joe Giudice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kisean Anderson receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Kisean ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DWAY","connectedTitle":"Will DeAndre Way receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: DeAndre Way","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SSAM","connectedTitle":"Will Safaree Samuels receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Safaree","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-STEL","connectedTitle":"Will Sebastian Telfair receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sebas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Steve Bann","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Brian Co","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Keonne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Martin S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elizab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tim Leissn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: JD Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Susie Wiles receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Susie Wiles","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Scott Bes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PBON","connectedTitle":"Will Pam Bondi receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pam Bondi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Elon Musk receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Hegse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:05:23.853Z","priceCents":60,"iy":53.92335496833541,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T16:30:27.630Z","priceCents":62,"iy":58.676185397662486,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T22:25:34.690Z","priceCents":63,"iy":61.30926352177206,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T20:31:05.015Z","priceCents":59,"iy":51.8621110853426,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T20:45:51.001Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.06019195070895,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:55:15.704Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.48702701153056,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:00:12.748Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.17214572158782,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:05:28.121Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.74947374516756,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:35:33.666Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.533230409123725,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:45:29.874Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.86410681390601,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:55:28.760Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.533990862194834,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:30:58.044Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.8658626883396,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:35:32.234Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.53545751015504,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:10:32.658Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.867448732647674,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:16:14.943Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.537032886577904,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:50:33.848Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.87135757664926,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:55:44.138Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.54078156192843,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:05:33.198Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.87430372722486,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:15:34.188Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.54377000560879,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:05:32.747Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.87668353322811,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:10:30.481Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.545834939820246,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:30:33.006Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.87764684465986,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:35:31.647Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.546813121123805,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T04:15:41.099Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.893631242849494,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T04:55:28.017Z","priceCents":62,"iy":59.34965575626096,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:05:19.051Z","priceCents":61,"iy":56.900265704946115,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:05:19.245Z","priceCents":60,"iy":54.80502424434132,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T22:11:30.806Z","priceCents":61,"iy":57.509563402582444,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T22:20:49.814Z","priceCents":60,"iy":55.15294743395245,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T22:45:50.439Z","priceCents":61,"iy":57.51089588027484,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T23:05:51.170Z","priceCents":60,"iy":55.15466981241367,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T23:11:17.336Z","priceCents":61,"iy":57.51193873197502,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T23:25:57.348Z","priceCents":60,"iy":55.15544769601338,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T11:35:14.268Z","priceCents":59,"iy":52.940395874685706,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:15:32.480Z","priceCents":58,"iy":50.82887806332226,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:06:12.298Z","priceCents":54,"iy":43.320934007249704,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:25:52.701Z","priceCents":55,"iy":45.10432692604745,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:30:53.632Z","priceCents":54,"iy":43.32167860756608,"cri":1.174}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["48 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 49c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR","marketTitle":"Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":49},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI","reason":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU","reason":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR","reason":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donald%20Trump%20Jr.%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20J","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1153}