{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","description":"If Edward Snowden has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":29,"spread":20,"volume":16467.16,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6983.51,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":849,"iyYes":434.56951777764175,"iyNo":4.250710172683127,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":10.59,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":20,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T09:22:25.504Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Alex Mas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","connectedTitle":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Barron Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Brian Co","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bob Menend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Derek Cha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Hale receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Daniel Hale","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DKWO","connectedTitle":"Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DWAY","connectedTitle":"Will DeAndre Way receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: DeAndre Way","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elizab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Elon Musk receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ETRU","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ghisl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-HBID","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Biden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Hunter Bid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Julian A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JGIU","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Giudice receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joe Giudice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jared Kus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Jho Low receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jho Low","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joseph","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Muyet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jose Muyet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JSUN","connectedTitle":"Will Justin Sun receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Justin Sun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: JD Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jeffery Williams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jeffer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kisean Anderson receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Kisean ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Keonne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Larry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Leon Stanton receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Leon Stant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Martin S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PBON","connectedTitle":"Will Pam Bondi receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pam Bondi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Hegse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PMIC","connectedTitle":"Will Prakazrel Michel receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Prakaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Rose receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Rose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Steve Bann","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Scott Bes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sam B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SSAM","connectedTitle":"Will Safaree Samuels receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Safaree","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-STEL","connectedTitle":"Will Sebastian Telfair receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sebas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Susie Wiles receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Susie Wiles","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Todd Blanche receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Todd Blanc","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Garbin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ty Garbin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Torence H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tim Leissn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TTH","connectedTitle":"Will Tou Thao receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tou Thao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T15:31:36.188Z","priceCents":24,"iy":131.49741328376064,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T15:46:05.267Z","priceCents":32,"iy":88.24268915364381,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T16:46:56.469Z","priceCents":24,"iy":131.50519308034276,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T22:01:06.332Z","priceCents":33,"iy":84.33525199049126,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T04:46:01.883Z","priceCents":24,"iy":131.5800458243874,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T10:46:00.634Z","priceCents":25,"iy":124.69026709907807,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:46:02.371Z","priceCents":33,"iy":84.4022967916773,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T18:32:07.606Z","priceCents":24,"iy":131.66593191950514,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:03:19.705Z","priceCents":33,"iy":84.4195074063921,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T22:15:59.680Z","priceCents":32,"iy":88.37047409299562,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T04:15:58.574Z","priceCents":26,"iy":118.52926119276508,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T12:45:58.963Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.64236238068924,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T19:01:03.159Z","priceCents":26,"iy":118.61235576258873,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T19:30:58.354Z","priceCents":24,"iy":131.9727673671214,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T19:46:23.922Z","priceCents":26,"iy":118.61668961854961,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T20:46:01.773Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.68519364344702,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T00:31:03.837Z","priceCents":26,"iy":118.64351239616057,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T04:16:57.419Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.7254821653226,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T13:16:01.786Z","priceCents":26,"iy":118.71550613505559,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T18:45:57.618Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.80330891964063,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T01:16:42.523Z","priceCents":26,"iy":118.7833767655669,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T03:31:53.979Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.85039210270034,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T14:46:53.382Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.91094849730972,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T20:01:15.675Z","priceCents":28,"iy":107.41372119550651,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T07:01:21.330Z","priceCents":27,"iy":112.9984761639161,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T11:01:59.640Z","priceCents":28,"iy":107.4907295381089,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T13:17:13.374Z","priceCents":27,"iy":113.03225646618105,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T20:02:08.904Z","priceCents":28,"iy":107.53691364147488,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T15:46:12.243Z","priceCents":27,"iy":113.1752371476765,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T18:46:09.732Z","priceCents":25,"iy":126.17489568965816,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T12:31:32.038Z","priceCents":28,"iy":108.36718364575906,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T07:46:37.028Z","priceCents":20,"iy":168.9226322774126,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T09:16:07.658Z","priceCents":28,"iy":108.60091115668564,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-12T20:31:09.931Z","priceCents":25,"iy":127.0640658180257,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:19.976Z","priceCents":20,"iy":170.301912630453,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T19:46:56.038Z","priceCents":8,"iy":491.0499636757561,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T14:32:08.314Z","priceCents":9,"iy":434.1733014856793,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 435%","51 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 7c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO","marketTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":7},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","reason":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","reason":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","reason":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Edward%20Snowden%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20Jan","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":161}