{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-STEL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Sebastian Telfair receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","description":"If Sebastian Telfair has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":13,"spread":5,"volume":336.69,"volume24h":7.25,"openInterest":250,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":969,"iyYes":433.2464948062028,"iyNo":3.275965934262403,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":12.33,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1434,"askDepthUsd":2465,"volume24h":7.25},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T18:46:53.612Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Alex Mas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","connectedTitle":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Barron Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Brian Co","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bob Menend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Derek Cha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Hale receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Daniel Hale","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DKWO","connectedTitle":"Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DWAY","connectedTitle":"Will DeAndre Way receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: DeAndre Way","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elizab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Elon Musk receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Edward S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ghisl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-HBID","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Biden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Hunter Bid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Julian A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JGIU","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Giudice receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joe Giudice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jared Kus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Jho Low receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jho Low","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joseph","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Muyet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jose Muyet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JSUN","connectedTitle":"Will Justin Sun receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Justin Sun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: JD Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jeffery Williams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jeffer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kisean Anderson receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Kisean ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Keonne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Larry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Leon Stanton receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Leon Stant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Martin S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PBON","connectedTitle":"Will Pam Bondi receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pam Bondi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Hegse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PMIC","connectedTitle":"Will Prakazrel Michel receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Prakaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Rose receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Rose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Steve Bann","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Scott Bes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sam B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SSAM","connectedTitle":"Will Safaree Samuels receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Safaree","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Susie Wiles receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Susie Wiles","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Garbin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ty Garbin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Torence H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tim Leissn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TTH","connectedTitle":"Will Tou Thao receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tou Thao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:11:00.300Z","priceCents":1,"iy":3654.026811364847,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:25:30.586Z","priceCents":8,"iy":424.4619521306018,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:10:30.047Z","priceCents":1,"iy":3654.333522783584,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:25:31.912Z","priceCents":8,"iy":424.4975809452921,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T08:01:18.151Z","priceCents":1,"iy":3701.2530075561485,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:16:08.427Z","priceCents":8,"iy":429.96643240026265,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:36.952Z","priceCents":1,"iy":3703.9808440586653,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:16:16.076Z","priceCents":8,"iy":430.2970100124142,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 433%","49 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","reason":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","reason":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","reason":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Sebastian%20Telfair%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":143}