{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SWIL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Susie Wiles receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","description":"If Susie Wiles has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":41,"bestBid":36,"bestAsk":42,"spread":6,"volume":2353.63,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1587.84,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":895,"iyYes":72.49021258003093,"iyNo":22.936356324150413,"cri":1.778,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":13.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":879,"askDepthUsd":1098,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T11:46:50.569Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Alex Mas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","connectedTitle":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Barron Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Brian Co","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bill Hwang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Bob Menend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Derek Cha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Hale receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Daniel Hale","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald Tru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Donald","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DKWO","connectedTitle":"Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Do Kwon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DWAY","connectedTitle":"Will DeAndre Way receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: DeAndre Way","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Elizabeth Holmes receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elizab","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Elon Musk receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO","connectedTitle":"Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Edward S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ETRU","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Eric Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX","connectedTitle":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ghisl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-HBID","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Biden receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Hunter Bid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JASS","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Julian A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JGIU","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Giudice receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joe Giudice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JKUS","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Kushner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jared Kus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Jho Low receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jho Low","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Joseph","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Muyet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jose Muyet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JSUN","connectedTitle":"Will Justin Sun receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Justin Sun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JVAN","connectedTitle":"Will JD Vance receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: JD Vance","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jeffery Williams receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Jeffer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kisean Anderson receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Kisean ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-KROD","connectedTitle":"Will Keonne Rodriguez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Keonne","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU","connectedTitle":"Will Larry Householder receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Larry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Leon Stanton receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Leon Stant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Borges receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Matt Borges","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MRUB","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Marco Rubio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MSH","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Shkreli receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Martin S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PBON","connectedTitle":"Will Pam Bondi receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pam Bondi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PHEG","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Hegseth receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Hegse","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PMIC","connectedTitle":"Will Prakazrel Michel receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Prakaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Rose receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Pete Rose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Robin Smith receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Robin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RVER","connectedTitle":"Will Roger Ver receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Roger Ver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBAN","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Bannon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Steve Bann","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBES","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Bessent receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Scott Bes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBF","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sam B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM","connectedTitle":"Will Sean Combs receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sean Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SSAM","connectedTitle":"Will Safaree Samuels receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Safaree","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-STEL","connectedTitle":"Will Sebastian Telfair receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Sebas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Todd Blanche receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Todd Blanc","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Garbin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Ty Garbin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-THAT","connectedTitle":"Will Torence Hatch receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Torence H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TLEI","connectedTitle":"Will Tim Leissner receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tim Leissn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TTH","connectedTitle":"Will Tou Thao receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?: Tou Thao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T20:46:33.391Z","priceCents":11,"iy":323.89938768707725,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T21:02:16.456Z","priceCents":38,"iy":65.31698624943226,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:01:40.847Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.3280062383337,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:46:19.141Z","priceCents":10,"iy":365.0807234043972,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T20:46:01.219Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.11799689793823,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:32:19.287Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.35421642969659,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T08:02:09.869Z","priceCents":10,"iy":365.2881717799597,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T09:16:02.048Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.38119930932076,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T11:32:31.600Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.16740465252384,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T15:01:04.604Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.40132334486947,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T16:16:00.955Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.18321979926391,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T16:45:58.446Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.40744653699447,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T21:01:39.014Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.19912221197342,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T14:02:26.811Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.48184299776658,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T14:46:41.282Z","priceCents":10,"iy":365.80925135494186,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T15:01:36.770Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.48528927728682,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:32:01.741Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.28123539522984,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T06:46:27.168Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.54047257928606,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T09:16:46.167Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.3207096543937,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:02:17.205Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.55899724532121,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T13:46:31.045Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.33578568987592,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T14:00:54.584Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.56590421810631,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T19:02:28.338Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.35344957460137,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T19:31:37.184Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.58528417438491,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T02:16:54.913Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.37782214637424,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:02:09.970Z","priceCents":35,"iy":75.66087662971856,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T01:15:57.693Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.45524523867304,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["51 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 37c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SWIL","marketTitle":"Will Susie Wiles receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":37},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS","reason":"Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR","reason":"Will Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ","reason":"Will Brian Cole Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Susie%20Wiles%20receive%20a%20presidential%20pardon%20before%20Jan%2021","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":215}