{"ticker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-TRUM","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Trump say \"Trump Derangement Syndrome\" before Aug 1, 2026?","description":"If Trump Derangement Syndrome, or a plural or possessive form of Trump Derangement Syndrome, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":77,"bestBid":85,"bestAsk":89,"spread":4,"volume":12070.04,"volume24h":93.18,"openInterest":5624.3,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":19,"iyYes":357.0267011955505,"iyNo":9840.548451702356,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":128,"askDepthUsd":355,"volume24h":93.18},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T02:41:26.985Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-AUTI","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Autism\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Autism","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-COGN","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Cognitive\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Cognitive","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-DEI","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"DEI / Woke\" before Aug 1, 2026?: DEI / Woke","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-DISC","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Discombobulator / Discombobulate / Discombobulated\" before Aug 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-EPST","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Epstein\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Epstein","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-EPSTI","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Epstein Island\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Epstein Island","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-FAT","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Fat shot / Ozempic\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Fat shot / Ozempic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-KNIC","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Knicks\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Knicks","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-MAKE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Make Iran Great Again\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Make Iran Great Agai","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-NEWS","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Newscum\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Newscum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-NINE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Nine War / Ninth War\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Nine War / Ninth War","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-PALE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Palestine / Palestinian\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Palestine / Palest","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-PELO","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Pelosi\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Pelosi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-UFO","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"UFO / UAP\" before Aug 1, 2026?: UFO / UAP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T23:31:05.458Z","priceCents":91,"iy":16327.724441691618,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T23:46:40.832Z","priceCents":90,"iy":14539.901739476833,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T01:01:56.010Z","priceCents":91,"iy":16373.360938578335,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T04:02:52.280Z","priceCents":90,"iy":14655.364711130944,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T05:17:08.061Z","priceCents":91,"iy":16502.95378775458,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T06:31:02.214Z","priceCents":90,"iy":14723.019003226966,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T16:02:03.877Z","priceCents":89,"iy":13475.618609088837,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T10:17:10.652Z","priceCents":82,"iy":7859.975314477795,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T12:02:14.709Z","priceCents":84,"iy":9089.507636846596,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T13:01:21.491Z","priceCents":86,"iy":10656.066047920047,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T14:01:11.885Z","priceCents":87,"iy":11632.422056727975,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T14:31:55.931Z","priceCents":84,"iy":9134.569549051384,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T14:46:26.172Z","priceCents":85,"iy":9864.23756835813,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T15:01:11.862Z","priceCents":84,"iy":9143.286573146292,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T15:31:14.638Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7432.070648034331,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T16:02:06.506Z","priceCents":82,"iy":7950.168672138549,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T16:16:06.654Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7443.447173302788,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T16:46:01.113Z","priceCents":82,"iy":7961.588593621152,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T17:01:23.605Z","priceCents":83,"iy":8537.217703982999,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T18:01:00.581Z","priceCents":82,"iy":7981.461036709919,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T18:17:13.525Z","priceCents":83,"iy":8558.949250897704,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T19:02:13.316Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7484.620642515382,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T20:01:37.260Z","priceCents":82,"iy":8013.773086788652,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T21:02:19.946Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7514.621295112511,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T21:16:12.241Z","priceCents":82,"iy":8033.907222195378,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T23:17:08.757Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7548.889688929063,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T23:45:58.496Z","priceCents":82,"iy":8074.480540852608,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T00:16:03.604Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7563.934627546898,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T00:45:59.132Z","priceCents":82,"iy":8090.982325812746,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T14:01:05.905Z","priceCents":74,"iy":5194.490493755457,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T14:16:40.515Z","priceCents":71,"iy":4470.785919827758,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T14:30:59.668Z","priceCents":74,"iy":5199.950715017288,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T14:46:15.133Z","priceCents":73,"iy":4942.166726020892,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:01:03.526Z","priceCents":74,"iy":5205.161608608848,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:16:37.951Z","priceCents":73,"iy":4947.36978920064,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:00:58.227Z","priceCents":72,"iy":4712.650274007976,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:17:07.360Z","priceCents":75,"iy":5501.130369253956,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T17:02:18.841Z","priceCents":76,"iy":5816.09889464768,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:01:23.702Z","priceCents":75,"iy":5521.379588543768,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:32:39.024Z","priceCents":74,"iy":5243.784533068264,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:01:36.945Z","priceCents":75,"iy":5532.817947551918,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:31:53.903Z","priceCents":76,"iy":5846.40026976901,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:46:02.828Z","priceCents":78,"iy":6549.043062200958,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:46:01.173Z","priceCents":80,"iy":7404.402069175374,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T21:45:57.466Z","priceCents":82,"iy":8450.791714666486,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T22:02:11.791Z","priceCents":78,"iy":6580.6809513903345,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T01:17:03.969Z","priceCents":79,"iy":7030.697583692977,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T01:31:07.996Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7971.5811044003485,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T01:47:06.830Z","priceCents":82,"iy":8523.13177393909,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T02:01:51.990Z","priceCents":84,"iy":9827.427047540898,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 357%","14 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 69c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-TRUM","marketTitle":"Will Trump say \"Trump Derangement Syndrome\" before Aug 1, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":69},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-AUTI","reason":"Will Trump say \"Autism\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Autism"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-COGN","reason":"Will Trump say \"Cognitive\" before Aug 1, 2026?: Cognitive"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26AUG01-DEI","reason":"Will Trump say \"DEI / Woke\" before Aug 1, 2026?: DEI / Woke"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20say%20%22Trump%20Derangement%20Syndrome%22%20before%20Aug%201%2C%2020","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":181}