{"ticker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-PELO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Trump say \"Pelosi\" before May 1, 2026?","description":"If Pelosi, or a plural or possessive form of Pelosi, is stated by Donald Trump before May 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":59,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":63,"spread":26,"volume":5418.43,"volume24h":380.38,"openInterest":2965.82,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":10,"iyYes":5973.605063277554,"iyNo":2441.7772913854237,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5128,"cvr":null,"overround":0.52,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":26,"bidDepthUsd":1240,"askDepthUsd":156,"volume24h":380.38,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:43:23.562Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-DISC","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Discombobulator\" before May 1, 2026?: Discombobulator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-STIM","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Stimulus\" before May 1, 2026?: Stimulus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-MOSC","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Moscow\" before May 1, 2026?: Moscow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-EPSTI","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Epstein Island\" before May 1, 2026?: Epstein Island","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-MAKE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Make Iran Great Again\" before May 1, 2026?: Make Iran Great Agai","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-THIR","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Third Term\" before May 1, 2026?: Third Term","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-GOAT","connectedTitle":"Will Trump say \"Goat\" before May 1, 2026?: Goat","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:25:31.707Z","priceCents":56,"iy":4328.600955511132,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:30:33.811Z","priceCents":58,"iy":4772.274370835249,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:45:31.835Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4227.739870272093,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:45:31.465Z","priceCents":56,"iy":4420.032869128969,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:50:32.076Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4245.846684221103,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:45:32.462Z","priceCents":56,"iy":4437.767047625665,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:00:31.756Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4097.133877123401,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:10:57.285Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4268.597369736018,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:25:52.819Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4170.5106177687885,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:30:47.501Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4343.827761549282,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:45:51.464Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4176.201372997712,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:10:36.934Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4373.209598187543,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:15:36.276Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4202.003146705553,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:26:19.174Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4377.930432886274,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:30:36.957Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4206.128014818546,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:50:37.515Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4385.246349268763,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:55:36.820Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4213.158907272028,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:15:36.658Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4392.5867576911305,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:15:26.058Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4236.486660762955,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:05:15.221Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4425.705467372136,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:10:12.267Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4252.463883183458,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:10.657Z","priceCents":55,"iy":4478.577563609188,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:27.858Z","priceCents":54,"iy":4311.947880341806,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:25:27.050Z","priceCents":52,"iy":3994.511230090582,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.364Z","priceCents":50,"iy":3689.8503841488073,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:45:27.337Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6287.167288684739,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:47.342Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6567.036624723094,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:00:27.836Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6293.534040369483,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:55:31.502Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6054.557907579033,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:21:08.976Z","priceCents":39,"iy":5814.211588730378,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:28.242Z","priceCents":43,"iy":4939.63460237188,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:27.925Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6354.017855909278,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:21:03.610Z","priceCents":35,"iy":6933.181373193649,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:28.567Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6638.928676988837,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:28.674Z","priceCents":34,"iy":7251.350033412195,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:44.629Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6646.408776901454,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:31.252Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6374.220374220375,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:46.965Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6121.146220469459,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:36.569Z","priceCents":35,"iy":6977.428130284539,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:29.004Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6684.06354438493,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:27.558Z","priceCents":35,"iy":7009.898064706752,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:30.249Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6717.9717247012,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:30:28.436Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6442.945122190403,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:28.217Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6731.910871344424,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:10:30.075Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6191.789517461776,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:34.527Z","priceCents":40,"iy":5698.969501405225,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6200.815449702975,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:50:28.010Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6480.568159400276,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:00:53.589Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6214.403796196116,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:30:30.464Z","priceCents":39,"iy":5970.481446323321,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 5974%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.51)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-DISC","reason":"Will Trump say \"Discombobulator\" before May 1, 2026?: Discom"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-STIM","reason":"Will Trump say \"Stimulus\" before May 1, 2026?: Stimulus"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26MAY01-MOSC","reason":"Will Trump say \"Moscow\" before May 1, 2026?: Moscow"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Trump%20say%20%22Pelosi%22%20before%20May%201%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2273}