{"ticker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-NY","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":91,"bestBid":91,"bestAsk":92,"spread":1,"volume":3652.83,"volume24h":10.44,"openInterest":1713.7,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":15.210552947356017,"iyNo":1555.0443081117933,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.011,"cvr":null,"overround":6.29,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2332,"askDepthUsd":1170,"volume24h":10.44,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:23:05.957Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CA","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?: California","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-AK","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?: Alaska","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CO","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?: Colorado","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-NE","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-HI","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?: Hawaii","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-KS","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before Jan 1, 2027?: Kansas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-MN","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota before Jan 1, 2027?: Minnesota","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-WI","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?: Wisconsin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-NC","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?: North Carolina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-SC","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?: South Carolina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-MT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit Montana before Jan 1, 2027?: Montana","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T11:15:55.166Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1126.4978936899472,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T12:20:58.015Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1253.2906031818704,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:30:43.445Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1132.3028918078226,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:10:46.202Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1259.6631695196027,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T04:50:37.034Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1133.994239441915,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:20:23.507Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1264.7457418301665,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:31:07.579Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1616.36893645042,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:55:15.697Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1874.699700114322,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:30:17.180Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1622.8745080148165,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:50:15.997Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1874.9751439441823,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:10:16.718Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1623.0502130555503,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:20:16.726Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1875.1273976303087,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:35:25.102Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1623.4205732540745,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:20:17.601Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1875.7294042756364,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:50:16.064Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1623.7471325728134,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:50:15.421Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1876.7892942564565,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T07:45:20.741Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1625.0358107951165,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T09:11:10.706Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1877.806752691552,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T11:20:57.811Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1625.9800427655036,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:16:00.703Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1878.7379662806813,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:36:03.111Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1626.3076327005044,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:15:32.892Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1894.9480333738632,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:45:31.846Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1641.1870503597133,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:10:57.285Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1898.0186128276887,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:06:04.171Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1643.6870278927533,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:40:46.767Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1899.0964116616674,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:05:30.870Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1165.7450038218205,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:20:30.487Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1297.20892764062,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T14:10:35.627Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1481.9484711146097,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T15:45:38.890Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1186.1692338701434,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T17:05:35.767Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1319.738221788336,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T21:20:35.617Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1187.2755926692635,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T21:25:40.537Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1320.698583214062,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T22:35:35.990Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1187.5238528340458,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T22:40:38.657Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1320.9747466623774,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T22:45:36.528Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1187.5572804006076,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T22:50:35.839Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1321.0119313315079,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T01:15:41.066Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1188.0589198227551,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T01:20:41.900Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1321.5646359763289,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:56:03.690Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1190.3863249767494,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:31:00.044Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1324.265707766607,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:15:19.318Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1499.7807786939472,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:10.592Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1335.1975970507783,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:25:10.260Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1500.0794863735068,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:40:14.324Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1335.745943967796,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:45:12.439Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1500.671156707298,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:10:16.089Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1336.3110492787584,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:35:10.300Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1501.3915501692602,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:25:12.556Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1336.593781278736,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T21:05:13.924Z","priceCents":91,"iy":1501.7764503005367,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.011","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 10.1","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 82c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-NY","marketTitle":"Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":82},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CA","reason":"Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?: Cali"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-AK","reason":"Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?: Alaska"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPSTATES-27JAN01-CO","reason":"Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?: Colora"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donald%20Trump%20visit%20New%20York%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":178}