{"ticker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-485000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 485000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?","description":"If Tesla Inc. reports Above 485000 total deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":58,"bestBid":58,"bestAsk":64,"spread":6,"volume":557.44,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":342.1,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-30T04:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":172,"iyYes":153.26603624636783,"iyNo":292.28284916824333,"cri":1.381,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1034,"cvr":null,"overround":8.99,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":205,"askDepthUsd":2001,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T17:23:05.605Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-440000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 440000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 440000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-445000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 445000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 445000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-450000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 450000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 450000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-455000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 455000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 455000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-460000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 460000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 460000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-465000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 465000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 465000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-470000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 470000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 470000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-475000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 475000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 475000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-480000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 480000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 480000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-490000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 490000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 490000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-495000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 495000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 495000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-500000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 500000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 500000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-505000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 505000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 505000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-510000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 510000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 510000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-515000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 515000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 515000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-520000","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 520000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?: Above 520000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV","groupLabel":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T11:02:35.466Z","priceCents":47,"iy":224.05011495525548,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:17:04.788Z","priceCents":48,"iy":215.5493533065135,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:45:59.308Z","priceCents":49,"iy":207.11238275035902,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T18:15:58.870Z","priceCents":48,"iy":215.59636362314575,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T21:02:52.642Z","priceCents":49,"iy":207.26605880499403,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T23:16:47.380Z","priceCents":50,"iy":199.23907050879654,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T23:46:51.282Z","priceCents":49,"iy":207.39505130785338,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T00:16:24.461Z","priceCents":52,"iy":215.89182204508023,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T05:02:49.926Z","priceCents":55,"iy":243.83519048903085,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T05:46:03.279Z","priceCents":56,"iy":253.95266640360293,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T07:31:40.137Z","priceCents":55,"iy":243.97254139177983,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T22:33:14.592Z","priceCents":56,"iy":254.92679709672808,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T01:16:02.774Z","priceCents":53,"iy":226.0099413998106,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T17:46:01.292Z","priceCents":54,"iy":236.1724674906382,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T19:31:22.582Z","priceCents":53,"iy":229.48918873999938,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:01:23.067Z","priceCents":54,"iy":238.98481288495535,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:22.908Z","priceCents":56,"iy":259.22282865371034,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:15:59.148Z","priceCents":57,"iy":270.2533132822391,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T06:15:58.736Z","priceCents":56,"iy":259.65895752264015,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T09:16:50.654Z","priceCents":57,"iy":270.63273817111843,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T10:16:48.245Z","priceCents":56,"iy":259.90301701118653,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T00:33:01.757Z","priceCents":57,"iy":271.59893642352563,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T01:15:56.570Z","priceCents":61,"iy":320.5236174008983,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:45:59.229Z","priceCents":59,"iy":296.0354753187381,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T21:46:01.790Z","priceCents":60,"iy":308.8683290082365,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:32:20.009Z","priceCents":59,"iy":296.5753840640894,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:46:00.722Z","priceCents":58,"iy":284.6231183884281,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T02:03:01.404Z","priceCents":57,"iy":273.22931839233206,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T05:31:48.664Z","priceCents":56,"iy":262.5499923958124,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T06:02:54.283Z","priceCents":57,"iy":273.4856904741404,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T12:15:59.770Z","priceCents":58,"iy":285.3272003484846,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T15:01:04.604Z","priceCents":57,"iy":274.06506664306056,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:02:05.767Z","priceCents":58,"iy":285.6489790983747,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:36.940Z","priceCents":57,"iy":274.21107148453956,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T21:47:10.936Z","priceCents":58,"iy":285.9698619915119,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:30:56.604Z","priceCents":57,"iy":274.74515587512235,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T09:31:09.489Z","priceCents":57,"iy":275.2672295057891,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T10:46:06.162Z","priceCents":58,"iy":286.85030506130215,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T12:15:53.397Z","priceCents":57,"iy":275.44587677182983,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T15:32:15.943Z","priceCents":58,"iy":287.17553031160105,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:16:58.980Z","priceCents":57,"iy":276.03674652118065,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T22:32:04.595Z","priceCents":58,"iy":287.6524408471357,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T06:32:41.996Z","priceCents":57,"iy":276.64597373399056,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T10:02:05.731Z","priceCents":58,"iy":288.4409175718424,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:02:18.452Z","priceCents":57,"iy":277.0086790726966,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T21:01:24.561Z","priceCents":58,"iy":289.19887948753467,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T21:16:57.602Z","priceCents":57,"iy":277.6206158493949,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T02:46:47.629Z","priceCents":58,"iy":289.5976576104814,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:02:11.447Z","priceCents":57,"iy":278.93784010003947,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T20:16:36.987Z","priceCents":58,"iy":290.81571817058364,"cri":1.381}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 153%","16 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 52c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-485000","marketTitle":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 485000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":52},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-440000","reason":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 440000 total deliveries in Q3 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-445000","reason":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 445000 total deliveries in Q3 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTSLA-26OCTDELIV-450000","reason":"Will Tesla Inc. report Above 450000 total deliveries in Q3 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Tesla%20Inc.%20report%20Above%20485000%20total%20deliveries%20in%20Q3%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}