{"ticker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E12","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democrats win exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas?","description":"If the Democratic party has won exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":20,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":20,"spread":7,"volume":1244,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1219,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":239,"iyYes":1020.87234675261,"iyNo":22.793952517002396,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5385,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.25,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":437,"askDepthUsd":7559,"volume24h":0,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:24:27.368Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E8","connectedTitle":"Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives electio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E9","connectedTitle":"Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives electio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E10","connectedTitle":"Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E11","connectedTitle":"Will Democrats win exactly 11 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E13","connectedTitle":"Will Democrats win exactly 13 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-A13","connectedTitle":"Will Democrats win at least 14 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T22:50:14.562Z","priceCents":13,"iy":926.4097225321923,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:05:33.497Z","priceCents":14,"iy":878.9993912250154,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:35:32.047Z","priceCents":15,"iy":810.9234856771701,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:30:56.335Z","priceCents":13,"iy":980.9221378573236,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:16:02.199Z","priceCents":15,"iy":831.2501842012899,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1006.5030461336875,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["maker regime","IY 1021%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7","illiquid (LAS 0.54)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E8","reason":"Will Democrats win exactly 8 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Rep"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E9","reason":"Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Rep"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXHOUSEDEMSEATS-26NOV03-E10","reason":"Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Re"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Democrats%20win%20exactly%2012%20seats%20in%202026%20U.S.%20House%20of%20Re","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":114}