{"ticker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-DJT-NONE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Donald Trump endorse No one in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff before May 26, 2026?","description":"If Donald Trump publicly endorses no one in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff before May 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":57,"bestBid":60,"bestAsk":87,"spread":27,"volume":12800.85,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5133.99,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-26T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":35,"iyYes":705.211805052408,"iyNo":1586.7265613679174,"cri":1.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5167,"cvr":null,"overround":1,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":27,"bidDepthUsd":738,"askDepthUsd":3413,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T02:00:12.106Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-DJT-KPAX","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-DJT-JCOR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump endorse John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-WHUN-KPAX","connectedTitle":"Will Wesley Hunt endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-WHUN-JCOR","connectedTitle":"Will Wesley Hunt endorse John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-GABB-KPAX","connectedTitle":"Will Greg Abbott endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-GABB-JCOR","connectedTitle":"Will Greg Abbott endorse John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-DJT-BOTH","connectedTitle":"Will Donald Trump endorse John Cornyn AND Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republica","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26","groupLabel":"KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:15:51.589Z","priceCents":64,"iy":1725.1259873687698,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:26:23.001Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1286.5615691289531,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T04:15:21.702Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1347.504729315134,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T04:20:21.866Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1293.5786148232105,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T06:15:30.695Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1350.5013505013503,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T06:20:31.688Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1296.4902845797728,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T13:05:22.869Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1360.893188205678,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T13:10:15.534Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1306.432318893818,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:00:17.129Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1362.2908622908622,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:10:17.121Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1307.9155767370191,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:20:13.403Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1420.1154556832973,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:25:27.783Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1308.3046057604388,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:20:47.514Z","priceCents":60,"iy":1481.9727154612383,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:25:46.380Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1309.7921204719153,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:15:16.976Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1365.760632546521,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:20:16.835Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1311.1053553974623,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:50:17.862Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1372.865638152305,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:55:18.297Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1317.926588860115,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:30:17.753Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1378.6106313867376,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:35:24.104Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1323.442132723339,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:00:17.639Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1271.2992379668171,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:30:57.632Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1324.8554471586128,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:35:17.874Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1272.1347716007738,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:50:55.028Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1336.0132798628342,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:55:47.213Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1282.884909407237,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:50:25.508Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1337.5645075120267,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:55:12.573Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1284.3391057380552,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:35:47.919Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1341.8304101789493,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:40:35.765Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1288.4355971306466,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:30:31.870Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1354.1862613068529,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:35:45.755Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1300.3371715758,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:30:31.665Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1355.7800019680149,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:36:01.887Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1301.867708840217,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:10:50.083Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1366.424381660949,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:15:33.435Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1312.0529134764013,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:40:56.839Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1376.9628587350605,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:51:14.064Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1322.3234594672927,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:15:26.058Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1377.9039964183105,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:20:44.079Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1323.0766840746624,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:40:39.612Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1378.571414372526,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:46:24.942Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1323.7553202788436,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:11.837Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1380.2231045566266,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:50:26.348Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1325.4549604697975,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:25:27.357Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1388.0632564544437,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:30:43.738Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1332.8325430236262,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:27.925Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1391.0963149487523,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:21:03.610Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1335.7835769199603,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:31.220Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1399.465505748201,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:22:00.476Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1343.8597967642174,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:30:28.077Z","priceCents":60,"iy":1585.9911358303639,"cri":1.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 705%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.52)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-DJT-KPAX","reason":"Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Repub"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-DJT-JCOR","reason":"Will Donald Trump endorse John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Repu"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXRUNOFFENDORSE-26MAY26-WHUN-KPAX","reason":"Will Wesley Hunt endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republ"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Donald%20Trump%20endorse%20No%20one%20in%20the%202026%20Texas%20Republica","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2001}