{"ticker":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-PAXTAL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?","description":"If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":37,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":35,"spread":4,"volume":8250.98,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3772.98,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":622,"iyYes":130.68316759808798,"iyNo":26.37818190753257,"cri":2.226,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.129,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.07,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1594,"askDepthUsd":2002,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:03:05.014Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALCOR","connectedTitle":"Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-CORTAL","connectedTitle":"Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner be Republican for Ja","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALPAX","connectedTitle":"Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T13:07:56.620Z","priceCents":35,"iy":106.73604547113,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:08:51.980Z","priceCents":28,"iy":147.82724327841677,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:22:45.084Z","priceCents":30,"iy":134.14164833047465,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:37:59.103Z","priceCents":29,"iy":140.7520499070977,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:53:19.521Z","priceCents":30,"iy":134.14608534946237,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:08:12.605Z","priceCents":31,"iy":128.14306678591748,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:05:46.793Z","priceCents":27,"iy":155.92219655021333,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:35:43.679Z","priceCents":28,"iy":148.37689900411323,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:15:55.253Z","priceCents":27,"iy":156.01636154620908,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T14:55:33.857Z","priceCents":28,"iy":148.97888241348508,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T16:11:16.380Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.41065467209157,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:45:14.010Z","priceCents":27,"iy":156.96230778008163,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:15:32.060Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.52809277229477,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:05:09.277Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.3822162826248,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T01:00:30.566Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.7058216469641,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:31:27.017Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.40513284917972,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:35:56.817Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.72009470128566,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:36:00.589Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.47210963452866,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T13:45:23.630Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.8207400130558,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:00:32.164Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.5139168978061,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:30:24.654Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.82745500815236,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:40:28.593Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.52005372370832,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:10:22.992Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.83352073574451,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:20:23.586Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.52641839772699,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:05:23.813Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.887052596533,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:20:23.507Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.58327105115592,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T01:50:19.448Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.92999525442053,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:40:17.015Z","priceCents":31,"iy":129.86305158731733,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 131%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 33c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-PAXTAL","marketTitle":"Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":33},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALCOR","reason":"Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-CORTAL","reason":"Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALPAX","reason":"Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner b"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20GOP%20Nominee%20be%20Ken%20Paxton%20AND%20General%20Election%20Winner%20b","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2332}