{"ticker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.3","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in April?","description":"If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":42,"bestBid":38,"bestAsk":45,"spread":7,"volume":1094.52,"volume24h":143.5,"openInterest":829.99,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-08T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":17,"iyYes":3594.6539252095954,"iyNo":1350.3330561921582,"cri":1.632,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0789,"cvr":null,"overround":1.88,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":3662,"askDepthUsd":1385,"volume24h":143.5},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:01:06.903Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in April?: Above 3.9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in April?: Above 4.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.1","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in April?: Above 4.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.2","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in April?: Above 4.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.4","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in April?: Above 4.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.5","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in April?: Above 4.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.6","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.6% in April?: Above 4.6%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.7","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in April?: Above 4.7%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.8","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.8% in April?: Above 4.8%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:53:12.220Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1368.928541859351,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T11:53:02.814Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1427.0716431958876,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:22:56.123Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1371.802908548364,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T00:37:48.846Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1452.7641583697202,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T01:22:44.885Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1396.9919718998442,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:07:44.597Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1457.904936609613,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:52:50.577Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1401.9883666491285,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:37:47.255Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1465.1834936040393,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:37:56.794Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1545.2946451595521,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T23:10:54.309Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1500.5892724997034,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T23:25:54.207Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1441.969397004103,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T23:45:55.918Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1563.656190364918,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T23:50:53.787Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1442.8792844452469,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T04:05:53.893Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1394.8169835502724,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:40:54.151Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1468.2543597932836,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T13:10:39.472Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1588.662863333081,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T15:10:39.626Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1799.4540661348021,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:45:41.245Z","priceCents":39,"iy":2135.1538480717923,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:35:23.158Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2456.7957325794678,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T11:25:58.088Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2386.2942961391736,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:00:34.834Z","priceCents":38,"iy":2404.2241251088967,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:40:34.535Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2511.868428124187,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T00:20:34.626Z","priceCents":39,"iy":2329.6230959660325,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T03:40:46.955Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2662.9822665444613,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T12:06:07.516Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2587.8018258098205,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T15:15:50.189Z","priceCents":38,"iy":2493.4111362815006,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T22:40:13.945Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2752.3281680051277,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:05:37.195Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2719.8533325447984,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:31:12.115Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2852.509622335541,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:40:34.122Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2732.7697057712003,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:50:38.697Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2854.140703271999,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:15:35.304Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2735.656688469436,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:30:43.445Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2857.660143959523,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:05:36.605Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2822.8855672532995,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T13:45:23.630Z","priceCents":38,"iy":2713.474806531525,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:15:48.980Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2878.31829606561,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:40:16.021Z","priceCents":38,"iy":2836.9203305519895,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:10:17.037Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3169.795754427673,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T15:35:54.912Z","priceCents":38,"iy":2997.112812226843,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:36:01.266Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2476.5174248980175,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:50:29.488Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2524.4291628380315,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:15:12.822Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2465.655839888969,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:16:04.784Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2622.032254588557,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:25:31.728Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2530.839684070523,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:00:31.911Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2689.8984050113177,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:05:58.184Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2809.0873740265074,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:45:48.099Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2707.930367504836,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:10:36.934Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2823.183622956737,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:05:15.221Z","priceCents":39,"iy":3355.0625052740716,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:27.842Z","priceCents":38,"iy":3581.6822986075285,"cri":1.632}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 3595%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 38c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXU3-26APR-T4.3","marketTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in April?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":38},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26APR-T3.9","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in April?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26APR-T4.0","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in April?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26APR-T4.1","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in April?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20unemployment%20rate%20(U-3)%20be%20above%204.3%25%20in%20April%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2392}