{"ticker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.6","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.6% in April?","description":"If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.6% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"volume":1485.8,"volume24h":268.8,"openInterest":1225.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-08T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":17,"iyYes":70927.74004848048,"iyNo":67.84458076695977,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":2.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1000,"askDepthUsd":4182,"volume24h":268.8,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:01:50.456Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in April?: Above 3.9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in April?: Above 4.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.1","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in April?: Above 4.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.2","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in April?: Above 4.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.3","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in April?: Above 4.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.4","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in April?: Above 4.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.5","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in April?: Above 4.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.7","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in April?: Above 4.7%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26APR-T4.8","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.8% in April?: Above 4.8%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26APR","groupLabel":"KXU3-26APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:55:54.938Z","priceCents":2,"iy":80905.63647878404,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T10:35:53.013Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:40:26.103Z","priceCents":2,"iy":81170.0099845693,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:55:26.664Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:35:25.623Z","priceCents":2,"iy":81310.23822513185,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T12:55:22.166Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T13:00:33.604Z","priceCents":2,"iy":81376.83137683138,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T13:40:40.877Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:05:34.474Z","priceCents":2,"iy":81700.24210862913,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:15:24.967Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T19:15:23.201Z","priceCents":2,"iy":82351.0452159499,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:25:23.128Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:45:23.979Z","priceCents":2,"iy":82747.29342093087,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T01:50:19.448Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T03:45:46.384Z","priceCents":2,"iy":83719.51504938446,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:40:41.008Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:55:32.812Z","priceCents":2,"iy":84073.70845672919,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T15:15:28.947Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:20:32.464Z","priceCents":2,"iy":86167.85507804972,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:30:19.126Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:35:18.189Z","priceCents":2,"iy":86209.38976188182,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:55:17.911Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:05:16.842Z","priceCents":2,"iy":97689.53462967009,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:15:12.822Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:15:45.642Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:20:31.704Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:00:51.826Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:45:32.462Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:10:57.285Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:05:33.351Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:10:50.083Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:45:31.945Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:56:02.536Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:05:34.463Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:35:34.494Z","priceCents":3,"iy":68269.02682169646,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:50:32.068Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:15:47.265Z","priceCents":3,"iy":68379.78252892211,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:55.723Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:30:47.670Z","priceCents":3,"iy":68419.42528069261,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:16:05.801Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:25:27.946Z","priceCents":3,"iy":69753.92556691688,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:00:27.704Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.254Z","priceCents":3,"iy":70143.63546310055,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:20:27.694Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:35:28.472Z","priceCents":3,"iy":70302.41655249102,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:29.176Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:28.567Z","priceCents":3,"iy":70622.14509404985,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.019Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:27.842Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 70928%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26APR-T3.9","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in April?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26APR-T4.0","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in April?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26APR-T4.1","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in April?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20unemployment%20rate%20(U-3)%20be%20above%204.6%25%20in%20April%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2622}