{"ticker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in August?","description":"If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":74,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":99,"spread":99,"volume":200,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":200,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-04T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":72,"iyYes":177.72068076946127,"iyNo":1439.642674398772,"cri":2.846,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.3378,"cvr":null,"overround":2.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":99,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":26,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-06-24T08:40:52.145Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in August?: Above 3.9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.2","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?: Above 4.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.3","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in August?: Above 4.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.4","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in August?: Above 4.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.5","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in August?: Above 4.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.7","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in August?: Above 4.7%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3-26AUG-T4.9","connectedTitle":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.9% in August?: Above 4.9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXU3-26AUG"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T13:30:33.151Z","priceCents":68,"iy":923.8360112914949,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T13:46:29.346Z","priceCents":69,"iy":967.7880480769893,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T14:45:32.652Z","priceCents":68,"iy":924.4085572969432,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:01:24.602Z","priceCents":69,"iy":968.3879119349529,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:00:58.657Z","priceCents":68,"iy":926.8276653203643,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:16:04.971Z","priceCents":69,"iy":970.9108404306006,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:30:35.297Z","priceCents":68,"iy":927.0492195156935,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:00:34.600Z","priceCents":69,"iy":971.2706734876077,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:16:00.183Z","priceCents":68,"iy":927.4039266327094,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T12:00:48.559Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1002.7392678828802,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T13:15:23.694Z","priceCents":68,"iy":957.9401738958602,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T13:46:30.345Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1003.6559618001007,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:00:28.020Z","priceCents":68,"iy":960.2884734431104,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:15:57.304Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1005.9799586903125,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:15:46.352Z","priceCents":68,"iy":961.9081280849271,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T12:15:30.832Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1015.4099599278949,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T16:30:31.926Z","priceCents":68,"iy":971.571550255537,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T10:45:50.610Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1027.4425268599623,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T18:45:46.298Z","priceCents":68,"iy":985.0707409383019,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T19:15:45.723Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1032.0630031742542,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:45:47.679Z","priceCents":68,"iy":986.1102282118113,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T16:15:43.782Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1043.6639837091445,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T21:15:51.308Z","priceCents":68,"iy":999.0790117731923,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T12:16:32.850Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1054.9667634155871,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T12:30:33.766Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1007.3182768607387,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T13:15:33.741Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1055.528732510536,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T13:31:32.086Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1007.8680301986827,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:46:04.537Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1079.799243518846,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T16:30:56.989Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1036.4884006841996,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T16:46:25.130Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1085.817290384664,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:16:02.251Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1039.8233054483057,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:31:01.454Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1089.296820732495,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:45:59.262Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1041.848563407525,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:00:56.286Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1091.4333855106524,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:31:09.272Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1043.4604208147234,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:45:53.712Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1093.1074982356631,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:31:00.386Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1044.050343249428,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:45:56.391Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1093.7255719422583,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T07:30:55.243Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1045.2181061085885,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:00:56.206Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1095.1114156831604,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T09:30:53.128Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1046.3884841616753,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T09:46:08.013Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1096.1900811446162,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T13:15:56.867Z","priceCents":68,"iy":1048.609515054011,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T21:46:21.088Z","priceCents":31,"iy":1103.6357095060785,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T22:30:55.064Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1157.4388663894251,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T23:30:55.679Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16047.955761037076,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T00:15:57.200Z","priceCents":2,"iy":24330.35410629991,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:45:56.218Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16160.025560272035,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:46:17.772Z","priceCents":2,"iy":24546.065904505715,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:46:59.767Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1428.2028016252218,"cri":2.846}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 178%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 1.34)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26AUG-T3.9","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in August?: A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26AUG-T4.2","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?: A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3-26AUG-T4.3","reason":"Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in August?: A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20unemployment%20rate%20(U-3)%20be%20above%204.1%25%20in%20August%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":133}