{"ticker":"KXU3MAX-30-5","venue":"kalshi","title":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?","description":"If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.","price":88,"bestBid":88,"bestAsk":96,"spread":8,"volume":1372,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":228,"status":"active","closeTime":"2030-01-04T13:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":1354,"iyYes":3.677049602559629,"iyNo":197.74355640431784,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0909,"cvr":null,"overround":3.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1185,"askDepthUsd":154,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T22:59:40.773Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-6","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 6%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-7","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 7%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-8","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 8%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-9","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-10","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 10%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-12","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 12%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-15","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 15%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-17","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 17%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXU3MAX-30-20","connectedTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 20%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXU3MAX-30","groupLabel":"KXU3MAX-30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:52:45.784Z","priceCents":95,"iy":507.74020101679787,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T17:08:27.864Z","priceCents":97,"iy":864.0560727364127,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T17:23:27.406Z","priceCents":95,"iy":507.7483793784598,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T17:37:44.848Z","priceCents":97,"iy":864.0693578870087,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T17:53:10.218Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.51591212273416,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:30:49.776Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.09940457089886,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:35:53.212Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.66798002272614,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:05:54.236Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.10285264934225,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:11:34.315Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.67238810016082,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:25:24.276Z","priceCents":94,"iy":418.9513005440135,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:35:52.711Z","priceCents":97,"iy":864.6486078314858,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:46:00.507Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.6766200064181,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:50:46.195Z","priceCents":94,"iy":418.9565186386193,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:55:36.521Z","priceCents":96,"iy":641.8076115745162,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T16:00:16.843Z","priceCents":97,"iy":864.6593772010283,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T16:11:00.042Z","priceCents":94,"iy":418.960815990602,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T16:25:45.953Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.68155741848702,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:20:47.417Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.11635879084864,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:25:45.628Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.68878756595132,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:21:13.947Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.15832590716508,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:25:56.530Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.74029288969703,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:46:20.831Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.1607697514719,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:51:14.095Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.74346859671851,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:40:42.938Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.16623268246698,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:45:43.690Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.74999670205486,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:55:53.085Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.16767034645946,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:00:49.732Z","priceCents":90,"iy":240.75193755840166,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T06:05:45.701Z","priceCents":89,"iy":216.61930515782,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:10:58.524Z","priceCents":90,"iy":241.08446175783968,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T00:50:58.077Z","priceCents":91,"iy":270.8616916513439,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:40:12.664Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.48418106592305,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T07:40:48.662Z","priceCents":89,"iy":216.78881739414436,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T16:00:51.923Z","priceCents":90,"iy":241.38579696258046,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T16:05:51.776Z","priceCents":89,"iy":217.004031057796,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:35:52.196Z","priceCents":90,"iy":241.39750416291287,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:40:51.002Z","priceCents":89,"iy":217.01455577451122,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T20:55:51.068Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.71435581192935,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:01:15.213Z","priceCents":89,"iy":217.03672480524992,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:26:18.434Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.71739182625765,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:31:18.697Z","priceCents":89,"iy":217.0400744771162,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:35:31.160Z","priceCents":90,"iy":241.4787763311105,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:10:32.050Z","priceCents":89,"iy":217.090970305417,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:20:34.137Z","priceCents":88,"iy":196.7831951562417,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T11:45:38.761Z","priceCents":84,"iy":140.89358701654103,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:50:22.162Z","priceCents":85,"iy":152.2018493321883,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:00:24.960Z","priceCents":86,"iy":164.99277059392563,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:25:23.844Z","priceCents":92,"iy":308.95206550740653,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:45:47.774Z","priceCents":86,"iy":165.03199643922042,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T02:55:56.121Z","priceCents":87,"iy":179.8163851317586,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T03:11:00.959Z","priceCents":88,"iy":197.04177236497736,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 79c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXU3MAX-30-5","marketTitle":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":79},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3MAX-30-6","reason":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 6%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3MAX-30-7","reason":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 7%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXU3MAX-30-8","reason":"How high will unemployment get before 2030?: Above 8%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=How%20high%20will%20unemployment%20get%20before%202030%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5943}