{"ticker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-POL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Poland win the 2028 UEFA Euros?","description":"If Poland is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":17,"spread":13,"volume":93.8,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":93.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-08-15T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":749,"iyYes":1169.1785319602157,"iyNo":2.0298238402087083,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":13,"bidDepthUsd":94,"askDepthUsd":5748,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-28T08:09:48.331Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-CRO","connectedTitle":"Will Croatia win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Croatia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-DEN","connectedTitle":"Will Denmark win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Denmark","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-GEO","connectedTitle":"Will Georgia win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Georgia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-IRL","connectedTitle":"Will Ireland win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Ireland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-ITA","connectedTitle":"Will Italy win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-NED","connectedTitle":"Will Netherlands win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Portugal win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-SUI","connectedTitle":"Will Switzerland win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUEFAEURO-28-TUR","connectedTitle":"Will Turkiye win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Turkiye","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUEFAEURO-28","groupLabel":"KXUEFAEURO-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T23:31:24.506Z","priceCents":5,"iy":919.0262959463452,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T12:45:55.874Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2371.855484575977,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T13:45:56.007Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1565.187022276451,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T14:15:57.698Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1161.8206631661735,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T15:46:02.500Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1161.917747895682,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T16:01:44.361Z","priceCents":5,"iy":919.8649715153565,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T16:45:56.218Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1161.9809387373407,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T17:02:35.878Z","priceCents":5,"iy":919.9162193101488,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T17:30:56.584Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1162.0287217418756,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1169%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXUEFAEURO-28-POL","marketTitle":"Will Poland win the 2028 UEFA Euros?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUEFAEURO-28-BEL","reason":"Will Belgium win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Belgium"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUEFAEURO-28-CRO","reason":"Will Croatia win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Croatia"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUEFAEURO-28-DEN","reason":"Will Denmark win the 2028 UEFA Euros?: Denmark"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Poland%20win%20the%202028%20UEFA%20Euros%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}