{"ticker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-LLY","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Eli Lilly?","description":"If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Eli Lilly before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":10,"spread":1,"volume":4287.91,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2196.77,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":207,"iyYes":1784.1872077832786,"iyNo":17.451897576433467,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1111,"cvr":null,"overround":5.81,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T08:46:46.443Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0xe5ea729b91b19f0930ecd4b892ad33a571e5f739355c09334bdb31f322a7abcb","venue":"polymarket","title":"Which companies will the US take a stake in?: Eli Lilly","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANDU","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANTH","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-BA","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-FCX","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-GFS","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-IONQ","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-LMT","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-MU","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-NTEC","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-NVDA","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-OAI","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-PDW","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-PFE","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-PLTR","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-QBTS","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-RGTI","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-SPI","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-TSM","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-TTOK","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-UMAC","connectedTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T19:11:10.139Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1813.895803083731,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T20:25:49.554Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1595.1847177317882,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:40:46.232Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2099.9033097989914,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:45:42.354Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1598.1550607361476,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:35:44.275Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2100.2489115148333,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:40:41.371Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1598.4180882313312,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T09:10:51.885Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1423.156070616268,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T13:46:14.773Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1835.9036713699627,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T14:16:21.366Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1614.324450296158,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T15:31:08.457Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1437.2530746715317,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T02:31:51.284Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1840.1855310343617,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T10:30:48.710Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1448.6043127397802,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T20:31:52.466Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1854.4125963101717,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T21:45:37.924Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1630.8171663207656,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:01:44.596Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1451.6770515709932,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T00:30:37.457Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1855.773566887429,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T06:30:36.312Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1633.4517542824321,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:16:05.183Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1863.9318637986466,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:00:49.268Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1642.9925366637385,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:30:57.459Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1873.3737687504743,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:45:32.599Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1655.1951650261724,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:15:32.332Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1473.4443612158943,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T16:00:28.071Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1658.371066704812,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:15:30.465Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1483.7063300286804,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:30:52.282Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1696.6511380818113,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T01:31:27.632Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1960.1296323968918,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T22:45:25.306Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1772.0989515725882,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1784%","20 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 9c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-LLY","marketTitle":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Eli Lilly?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":9},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe5ea729b91b19f0930ecd4b892ad33a571e5f739355c09334bdb31f322a7abcb","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANDU","reason":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANTH","reason":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-BA","reason":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20any%20part%20of%20the%20United%20States%20federal%20government%20take%20a","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":194}