{"ticker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0.2%?","description":"If the United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 is above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":68,"bestBid":62,"bestAsk":67,"spread":5,"volume":1020.09,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":379.45,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-16T12:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":20,"iyYes":1112.0982174356475,"iyNo":2960.460905694341,"cri":1.632,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":854,"askDepthUsd":845,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:39:25.608Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0.0%?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.4","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0.4%?: Above 0.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.6","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0.6%?: Above 0.6%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.8","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0.8%?: Above 0.8%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T1.0","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 1.0%?: Above 1.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T1.2","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 1.2%?: Above 1.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T1.4","connectedTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 1.4%?: Above 1.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16","groupLabel":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T05:30:41.201Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1397.824754901961,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:30:34.468Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1612.6635256881439,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:45:38.022Z","priceCents":60,"iy":1979.9652828005203,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T03:15:34.190Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1766.9900273987491,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:16:04.686Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1852.094870650814,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T08:00:34.075Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1932.1803356350215,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T17:15:51.761Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1805.4974598937438,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T17:30:54.178Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1881.6172131089256,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T17:45:33.907Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1806.9134305647588,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:00:45.561Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1883.0934323892066,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:15:34.866Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1808.264040446707,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:45:34.205Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1885.2768516143738,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:16:16.391Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1966.174674099814,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:30:33.821Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1890.4385067232458,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T02:46:04.494Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1989.4095236687533,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T04:15:56.303Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2078.5876993166285,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:45:34.449Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2172.6126875116483,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T08:15:58.125Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2275.3460275454618,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T08:46:06.372Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2182.9972311771025,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T09:30:33.193Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2279.875639483457,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:00:35.281Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2423.70519649983,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T22:15:36.456Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1969.7054280876084,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T02:31:03.353Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2066.9128854046294,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T02:46:18.277Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1904.7209247394908,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T03:00:58.667Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1985.0646622858342,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T03:30:57.588Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2157.9756414804306,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T04:15:55.466Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2252.9496286402364,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:30:59.893Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2378.4899584210943,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T16:16:06.340Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2114.5084639252186,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:30:57.195Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2223.7114658218593,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:16:02.251Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2136.006109959432,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T23:45:55.772Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2232.2338647205115,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:02:54.019Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2273.8815638730002,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T13:16:18.471Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2384.1665215119315,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T14:30:57.155Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2292.3401668878987,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:45:58.445Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2403.740615533213,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:15.308Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2325.219808043846,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:31:24.615Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2438.318339716754,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:31:12.004Z","priceCents":59,"iy":2347.8785143222217,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:31:00.886Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2456.5890429398296,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:02:05.908Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2653.362315939003,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:45:57.209Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2771.8236713496567,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:31:33.945Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2661.0302782578347,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:31:33.990Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2803.1363416779177,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:30:59.704Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2713.6488064332916,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:45:56.563Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2854.872079527678,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:30:59.005Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2774.1748184918406,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:30:55.612Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2905.57335962858,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:01:46.445Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2805.530669307759,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:15:58.664Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2927.857993065259,"cri":1.632}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1112%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 61c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.2","marketTitle":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0.2%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":61},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.0","reason":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.4","reason":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSRETAIL-26JUL16-T0.6","reason":"Will United States retail sales MoM for June 2026 be above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20United%20States%20retail%20sales%20MoM%20for%20June%202026%20be%20above%200","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":188}