{"ticker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T4.20","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.20%?","description":"If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 4.20%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":40,"spread":39,"volume":242,"volume24h":242,"openInterest":242,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-30T19:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":39,"bidDepthUsd":827,"askDepthUsd":260,"volume24h":242},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T11:30:42.014Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.00","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.00%?: Above 3.00%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.10","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.10%?: Above 3.10%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.20","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.20%?: Above 3.20%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.30","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.30%?: Above 3.30%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.40","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.40%?: Above 3.40%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.50","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.50%?: Above 3.50%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.60","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.60%?: Above 3.60%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.70","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.70%?: Above 3.70%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.80","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.80%?: Above 3.80%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.90","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.90%?: Above 3.90%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T4.00","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?: Above 4.00%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T4.10","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.10%?: Above 4.10%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T4.30","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.30%?: Above 4.30%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T4.40","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.40%?: Above 4.40%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:15:59.806Z","priceCents":3,"iy":95940.70942741782,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:30:33.224Z","priceCents":16,"iy":15590.67610446668,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:01:21.354Z","priceCents":15,"iy":16914.73121796969,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:30:35.912Z","priceCents":16,"iy":15697.960186778078,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T15:00:34.278Z","priceCents":14,"iy":18399.334130501044,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T18:45:40.783Z","priceCents":15,"iy":17193.12829038515,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T19:45:51.697Z","priceCents":4,"iy":73073.07307307307,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:45:38.022Z","priceCents":3,"iy":98783.51608493068,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T22:46:05.333Z","priceCents":44,"iy":5907.992554310754,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T01:46:03.508Z","priceCents":37,"iy":8031.616522182559,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T04:31:36.840Z","priceCents":35,"iy":8892.262139015387,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T06:16:14.883Z","priceCents":33,"iy":9814.07238856583,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:30:58.234Z","priceCents":29,"iy":11983.648781751006,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T09:00:58.979Z","priceCents":27,"iy":13271.2728866575,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:31:48.285Z","priceCents":21,"iy":18623.290900518627,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T13:01:29.881Z","priceCents":25,"iy":15063.970284770943,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:31:00.525Z","priceCents":27,"iy":13773.22891628544,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:46:17.772Z","priceCents":24,"iy":16154.204518984394,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:16:02.122Z","priceCents":25,"iy":15529.712097574813,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:31:51.407Z","priceCents":22,"iy":18381.973140495866,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:00:59.294Z","priceCents":13,"iy":35005.622064951385,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T23:00:58.812Z","priceCents":7,"iy":70761.50174063497,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:31:24.615Z","priceCents":11,"iy":43763.808805302586,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:45:57.966Z","priceCents":7,"iy":71969.21511258108,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:15:57.554Z","priceCents":11,"iy":44515.854962041274,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:45:56.839Z","priceCents":8,"iy":63473.46136398004,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T07:16:03.853Z","priceCents":10,"iy":50468.58196343524,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:01:58.943Z","priceCents":9,"iy":56979.39718319524,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:15:57.644Z","priceCents":10,"iy":50796.35070357199,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:02:17.482Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:01:27.063Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:16:58.357Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:45:56.892Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:01:21.172Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T04:30:57.151Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:46:03.966Z","priceCents":33,"iy":13818.023607320638,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:00:58.512Z","priceCents":34,"iy":13236.118284414453,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:16:20.542Z","priceCents":33,"iy":13872.343804953314,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:31:00.458Z","priceCents":34,"iy":13288.248532721414,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T12:00:57.974Z","priceCents":32,"iy":14604.12351722839,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:31:25.706Z","priceCents":29,"iy":17161.910690516084,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:01:11.370Z","priceCents":23,"iy":23754.986814524305,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:15:56.356Z","priceCents":21,"iy":26745.135140148777,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:01:21.389Z","priceCents":23,"iy":23945.846007037635,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:45:56.679Z","priceCents":24,"iy":22788.51209253418,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T18:31:26.615Z","priceCents":25,"iy":21726.190476190477,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T19:01:39.871Z","priceCents":26,"iy":20698.269652244544,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:02:21.526Z","priceCents":27,"iy":19996.998011182408,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:31:11.610Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:46:50.385Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["14 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 23c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T4.20","marketTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.20%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":23},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.00","reason":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.00%?: A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.10","reason":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.10%?: A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSTYLD-26JUN30-T3.20","reason":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (2Y) for Q2 2026 be above 3.20%?: A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20UST%20Par%20Yield%20Curve%20(2Y)%20for%20Q2%202026%20be%20above%204.20%25%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":190}