{"ticker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.10%?","description":"If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (30 Yr) for June 30, 2026 (end of Q2 2026) is above 5.10%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":90,"spread":81,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-30T19:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":52,"iyYes":7036.062601150682,"iyNo":68.82273526062133,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":9,"cvr":null,"overround":6.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":81,"bidDepthUsd":1322,"askDepthUsd":1031,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:47:21.812Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.00","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?: Above 4.00%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.10","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.10%?: Above 4.10%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.20","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.20%?: Above 4.20%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.30","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.30%?: Above 4.30%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.40","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.40%?: Above 4.40%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.50","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.50%?: Above 4.50%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.60","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.60%?: Above 4.60%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.70","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.70%?: Above 4.70%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.80","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.80%?: Above 4.80%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.90","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.90%?: Above 4.90%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.00","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.00%?: Above 5.00%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.20","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.20%?: Above 5.20%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.30","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?: Above 5.30%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.40","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.40%?: Above 5.40%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.50","connectedTitle":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 5.50%?: Above 5.50%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:00:37.649Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10643.115942028986,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:15:38.414Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9027.301303633256,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:21:12.299Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10645.88996040759,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:26:08.233Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7815.118227518153,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:31:03.015Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10647.277511932027,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:11:04.786Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9033.860009101722,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:21:02.720Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10654.220698564117,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:26:04.868Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9035.54326386874,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:36:05.039Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10656.206129725566,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:46:17.316Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9037.900874635567,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:51:09.426Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10658.390958851342,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:56:00.903Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9039.08014145115,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:00:53.012Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10659.583061484449,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:15:43.645Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6881.000029003162,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:20:45.966Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10662.365671595408,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:30:56.558Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9043.125679333345,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:35:46.136Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10664.55302747731,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:40:44.280Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7828.673741537199,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:25:47.309Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10671.31962328469,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:45:43.400Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9051.903446363236,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:51:02.088Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10674.905416168858,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:00:43.857Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7836.858908534194,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:06:36.489Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10677.097920595503,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:26:00.294Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7839.3470790378005,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:41:00.369Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10681.884694176179,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:51:08.716Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9059.682610854,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:11:29.320Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10686.07664324513,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:26:29.009Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9063.746615613833,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:31:00.627Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10688.67330853536,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:36:04.209Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6898.879438369111,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:41:30.961Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10690.271883743682,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:46:20.843Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9066.118969274816,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:51:20.877Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10691.671029342107,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:01:44.703Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9067.983832836011,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:55:54.918Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7854.6032934131745,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:07:16.239Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9075.620815776525,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:16:10.455Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7856.661550555908,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:21:17.463Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9077.319670333784,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:06:06.362Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7861.811915865969,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:16:21.009Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9083.781122219603,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:31:25.740Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7864.463305416598,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:10:35.457Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6923.599646472227,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:16:03.401Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7875.086771355134,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:55:54.459Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6943.9217949039585,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:51:49.302Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10767.164385195227,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:00:57.316Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7904.449842758413,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:45:28.099Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6953.865608146586,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:25:31.596Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10780.358444561747,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:30:33.059Z","priceCents":8,"iy":7913.689410078996,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:45:31.941Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6964.757884760151,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 7036%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1","illiquid (LAS 9.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.00","reason":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.10","reason":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.10%?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T4.20","reason":"Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.20%?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20UST%20Par%20Yield%20Curve%20(30Y)%20for%20Q2%202026%20be%20above%205.10%25%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":116}