{"ticker":"KXUT1D-26-NBLO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?","description":"If Nate Blouin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 UT-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":23,"bestBid":19,"bestAsk":23,"spread":4,"volume":6113.2,"volume24h":41.74,"openInterest":3772.05,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":196,"iyYes":795.2392697839473,"iyNo":43.75573485627267,"cri":4.263,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2632,"cvr":null,"overround":0.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":612,"askDepthUsd":546,"volume24h":41.74,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:02:03.816Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-BMCA","connectedTitle":"Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Ben McAdams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-KRIE","connectedTitle":"Will Kathleen Riebe be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Kathleen Riebe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-CGLE","connectedTitle":"Will Caroline Gleich be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Caroline Gleich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-KWES","connectedTitle":"Will Kael Weston be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Kael Weston","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-EMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Erin Mendenhall be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Erin Mendenhall","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jenny Wilson be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Jenny Wilson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-BKIN","connectedTitle":"Will Brian King be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Brian King","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXUT1D-26-LESC","connectedTitle":"Will Luz Escamilla be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Luz Escamilla","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXUT1D-26","groupLabel":"KXUT1D-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:40:17.015Z","priceCents":17,"iy":892.8284611138502,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:45:15.822Z","priceCents":16,"iy":960.4781715202245,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:50:58.606Z","priceCents":17,"iy":894.3564176383203,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T09:11:10.706Z","priceCents":16,"iy":961.7701087120186,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T14:50:54.549Z","priceCents":17,"iy":895.4799471018017,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:11:13.919Z","priceCents":16,"iy":963.7824027038719,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T08:15:40.371Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1043.1323895548908,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T10:00:31.311Z","priceCents":16,"iy":966.7874152405554,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:30:17.916Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1044.945277200995,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:10:19.544Z","priceCents":16,"iy":968.4486627448601,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:50:18.787Z","priceCents":17,"iy":900.9488586989816,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:05:24.295Z","priceCents":16,"iy":969.0461501117594,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:00:17.708Z","priceCents":17,"iy":902.1209893284997,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:20:17.751Z","priceCents":18,"iy":841.7934560051123,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:25:17.898Z","priceCents":17,"iy":902.1986308141853,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:35:16.708Z","priceCents":16,"iy":970.3710830683223,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:25:52.372Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1047.5756347920044,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:30:16.780Z","priceCents":16,"iy":970.5627617923692,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:25:16.987Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1047.7932174597304,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:40:16.709Z","priceCents":16,"iy":970.7987780474089,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:50:25.395Z","priceCents":17,"iy":902.8476880006341,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:55:17.770Z","priceCents":16,"iy":970.8528812734957,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:15:45.072Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1047.979030285834,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:20:36.187Z","priceCents":17,"iy":902.9437546067419,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T07:05:36.425Z","priceCents":16,"iy":971.0939598335774,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:10:27.380Z","priceCents":17,"iy":903.6763624572958,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:35:11.041Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1048.9356810559343,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T10:40:11.609Z","priceCents":16,"iy":971.8277715792675,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:50:33.052Z","priceCents":17,"iy":904.1853079960482,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:15:33.957Z","priceCents":16,"iy":972.5626931802608,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:20:31.395Z","priceCents":17,"iy":904.4744240786349,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:45:31.177Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1050.0859699714335,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:16:56.739Z","priceCents":16,"iy":974.422211487122,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:20:32.977Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1051.7733525890067,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:35:38.588Z","priceCents":16,"iy":974.4866305265406,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:45:31.627Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1052.758379651309,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:00:31.387Z","priceCents":16,"iy":975.3993219924871,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:15:33.435Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1052.8655589944074,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:25:31.549Z","priceCents":16,"iy":975.6923405923654,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:50:32.068Z","priceCents":18,"iy":846.7057967521353,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:46.387Z","priceCents":17,"iy":907.5421410205753,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:30:47.501Z","priceCents":18,"iy":847.0077110812267,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:11.837Z","priceCents":17,"iy":908.7685743357393,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:55:25.483Z","priceCents":18,"iy":847.9796099577117,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:10:24.510Z","priceCents":17,"iy":908.8612698797466,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:30:27.367Z","priceCents":18,"iy":848.0877364189786,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":20,"iy":744.9511699815293,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:29.176Z","priceCents":16,"iy":978.3923985356663,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:28.674Z","priceCents":17,"iy":910.0866257070105,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:30.249Z","priceCents":19,"iy":795.1173635182996,"cri":4.263}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 795%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.26)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUT1D-26-BMCA","reason":"Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Ben Mc"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUT1D-26-KRIE","reason":"Will Kathleen Riebe be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Kat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUT1D-26-CGLE","reason":"Will Caroline Gleich be the Democratic nominee for UT-1?: Ca"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Nate%20Blouin%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20UT-1%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2335}