{"ticker":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-JGRA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will John Gray be the Republican nominee for VA-07?","description":"If John Gray wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 VA-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":16,"bestBid":15,"bestAsk":17,"spread":2,"volume":8591,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2719.5,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":524,"iyYes":394.9130363943708,"iyNo":12.298329853111893,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.06,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1350,"askDepthUsd":29508,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:14:50.156Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-DOLL","connectedTitle":"Will Doug Ollivant be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Doug Ollivant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVAPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-PHAR","connectedTitle":"Will Philip Harding be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Philip Harding","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVAPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-TDUR","connectedTitle":"Will Tara Durant be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Tara Durant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVAPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-WWAS","connectedTitle":"Will Waverly Washington be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Waverly Washington","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVAPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T15:45:38.202Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2214.329315581174,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T12:30:47.755Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1305.7706211966015,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:15:47.515Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1077.0896040604803,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T18:31:34.344Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1306.3880207891825,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:31:03.205Z","priceCents":28,"iy":176.87369683525304,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:45:58.373Z","priceCents":26,"iy":195.77414867962983,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:01:19.444Z","priceCents":28,"iy":176.88069679687095,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:15:56.922Z","priceCents":22,"iy":243.88555693798298,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:00:58.075Z","priceCents":23,"iy":230.30449934112673,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:46:04.310Z","priceCents":24,"iy":217.85527373114616,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:01:00.090Z","priceCents":25,"iy":206.3930968577358,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:00:56.290Z","priceCents":26,"iy":195.82433781141032,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:16:16.340Z","priceCents":27,"iy":186.02682654152144,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:00:53.477Z","priceCents":28,"iy":176.93604933310996,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T14:30:25.620Z","priceCents":22,"iy":244.61995064296298,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T14:45:31.331Z","priceCents":20,"iy":275.9872214135838,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T15:00:26.901Z","priceCents":22,"iy":244.62966145385806,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T16:45:33.744Z","priceCents":20,"iy":276.0305297328365,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T17:30:23.820Z","priceCents":19,"iy":294.2076762877669,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T03:30:30.303Z","priceCents":15,"iy":391.37474399802704,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:15:27.690Z","priceCents":16,"iy":362.6184600944653,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T13:15:23.940Z","priceCents":15,"iy":391.6756458545189,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T15:45:31.789Z","priceCents":16,"iy":362.9481332201952,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T18:15:40.351Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.5980979057885,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:00:24.992Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.04096181936336,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:15:30.465Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.6243217005344,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:30:26.210Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.05540609156293,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:00:28.962Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.6447918834181,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:15:36.366Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.0767306894337,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:30:28.420Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.65758700826905,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:00:27.315Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.0980577925154,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:00:24.961Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.69789799082287,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:15:39.835Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.13452606325217,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:00:27.711Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.72477732683393,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:15:37.996Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.1627423927711,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:30:23.784Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.7375785146503,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:15:32.018Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.2198766805731,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T02:00:24.373Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.8048006750966,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T02:45:36.379Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.26325567287824,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T03:00:29.622Z","priceCents":17,"iy":337.83105659325344,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T03:15:46.765Z","priceCents":16,"iy":363.27771763960953,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:30:26.993Z","priceCents":15,"iy":392.48875824906366,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 395%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 14c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-JGRA","marketTitle":"Will John Gray be the Republican nominee for VA-07?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":14},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-DOLL","reason":"Will Doug Ollivant be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Dou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-PHAR","reason":"Will Philip Harding be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Ph"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVAPRIMARY-07R26-TDUR","reason":"Will Tara Durant be the Republican nominee for VA-07?: Tara "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20John%20Gray%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20VA-07%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":161}