{"ticker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Augusto Cury in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":71,"bestBid":66,"bestAsk":71,"spread":5,"volume":3513.45,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1685.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":392,"iyYes":47.960062600828195,"iyNo":180.72148156505855,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1212,"cvr":null,"overround":3.49,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":736,"askDepthUsd":1477,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-07T12:51:55.520Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-1","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the first round of ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-10","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-15","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-2","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-20","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-3","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the first round of ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-6","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-8","connectedTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T04:17:07.431Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4489.150487569183,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T06:46:57.886Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2199.3417038872612,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T07:46:12.067Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1741.3247627178223,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T08:46:02.006Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1435.9806270267375,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T09:45:59.575Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1217.874938290031,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T10:02:09.513Z","priceCents":10,"iy":825.0348473622744,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T10:16:55.221Z","priceCents":9,"iy":926.914281010048,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T11:02:01.286Z","priceCents":10,"iy":825.1198119178948,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T12:31:12.959Z","priceCents":11,"iy":741.8899111650492,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T13:02:09.658Z","priceCents":13,"iy":613.680109459428,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T13:17:15.935Z","priceCents":12,"iy":672.4786238893217,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T14:02:06.960Z","priceCents":13,"iy":613.7433279210017,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T14:32:33.039Z","priceCents":51,"iy":95.45726491321697,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T20:46:01.407Z","priceCents":52,"iy":99.42136555717033,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T21:46:06.827Z","priceCents":58,"iy":126.74831245728156,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T18:16:00.998Z","priceCents":61,"iy":143.86738535097246,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T18:31:18.536Z","priceCents":62,"iy":150.07769820203865,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T07:17:07.504Z","priceCents":67,"iy":187.00429142540787,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T12:16:09.306Z","priceCents":68,"iy":195.82929366377834,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T15:46:02.253Z","priceCents":69,"iy":205.19474721001134,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T17:32:39.392Z","priceCents":70,"iy":215.14774882195024,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T18:46:08.730Z","priceCents":72,"iy":237.13215190750617,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:46:13.302Z","priceCents":71,"iy":225.8465738774079,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T05:16:06.465Z","priceCents":72,"iy":237.3942565765797,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T06:46:11.517Z","priceCents":71,"iy":226.06082191928994,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T10:31:03.216Z","priceCents":70,"iy":215.5326947491849,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T04:16:36.285Z","priceCents":69,"iy":206.50966684173042,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 64c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-4","marketTitle":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":64},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-1","reason":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 1% of the popular vote in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-10","reason":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 10% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEBR1-BRPRES26ACUR-15","reason":"Will Augusto Cury receive at least 15% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Augusto%20Cury%20receive%20at%20least%204%25%20of%20the%20popular%20vote%20in","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":132}