{"ticker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-45","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Seth Bodnar in the 2026 Montana Senate election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":25.77,"volume24h":25.77,"openInterest":25.77,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":419,"iyYes":2815.5450212845826,"iyNo":2.693156041190482,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":1.93,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1},"computedAt":"2026-09-10T10:29:30.891Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-15","connectedTitle":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD","groupLabel":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-20","connectedTitle":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD","groupLabel":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-25","connectedTitle":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD","groupLabel":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-30","connectedTitle":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD","groupLabel":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-35","connectedTitle":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD","groupLabel":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-40","connectedTitle":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD","groupLabel":"KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T19:46:18.581Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4250.641695978706,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T21:31:11.420Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2805.3319134336616,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2816%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-15","reason":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-20","reason":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEGENERAL-SENATEMT26SBOD-25","reason":"Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Seth%20Bodnar%20receive%20at%20least%2045%25%20of%20the%20popular%20vote%20in","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":170}