{"ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-63","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":4,"spread":3,"volume":2255.47,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1805,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-05T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":98,"askDepthUsd":1282,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-29T02:58:34.685Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-60","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Californi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-61","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 Californi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-62","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 Californi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-64","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Californi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T08:45:24.080Z","priceCents":36,"iy":178.15947835880954,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T09:00:41.931Z","priceCents":37,"iy":170.6405368598401,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T10:30:26.352Z","priceCents":25,"iy":300.70356395511686,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T11:00:29.046Z","priceCents":23,"iy":335.5870983149002,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T11:15:22.588Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1331.804246550727,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T11:30:32.744Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1152.8299606705775,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T11:45:24.956Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1013.6299120157639,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:00:35.445Z","priceCents":10,"iy":902.2667908141823,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:15:25.035Z","priceCents":11,"iy":811.1510104242333,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:30:28.024Z","priceCents":12,"iy":735.2227550984906,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:45:23.084Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1152.9946271411777,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T13:00:30.649Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1013.7746999803747,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T14:01:42.167Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1153.1625086882107,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T18:30:28.225Z","priceCents":13,"iy":671.4160906436036,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T18:45:24.880Z","priceCents":14,"iy":616.3085571664963,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T19:00:27.931Z","priceCents":11,"iy":811.7797906440286,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T19:30:24.369Z","priceCents":12,"iy":735.8108993478498,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T19:45:33.003Z","priceCents":11,"iy":811.8489713497413,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T20:00:25.680Z","priceCents":13,"iy":671.5305313243457,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T20:15:36.654Z","priceCents":11,"iy":811.8958423984831,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T20:45:29.175Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1014.6749832440397,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T22:45:25.306Z","priceCents":11,"iy":812.1280454801706,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T02:15:32.958Z","priceCents":10,"iy":903.7412411379712,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T03:15:50.092Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1015.4315637646082,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T05:15:23.479Z","priceCents":10,"iy":904.0521350491518,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T06:15:25.791Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1015.778124576632,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T07:30:46.056Z","priceCents":10,"iy":904.2860682137255,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T08:30:24.819Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1016.0409977054576,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T19:00:39.971Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1157.0022409596709,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T00:30:46.028Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1020.7255064292033,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T04:30:46.292Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3265.5865926940523,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T05:15:27.276Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2424.148504001506,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T05:30:30.079Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1582.474065136496,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T06:01:30.532Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2424.3631895320646,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T15:16:03.894Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1921.3347111902851,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T16:00:36.619Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1584.394522086395,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T17:45:57.228Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1163.2482824940485,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:01:30.282Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1584.763361712191,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T19:01:34.613Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2427.9984811151053,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T20:00:42.715Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1922.383922383922,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T00:15:45.938Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2429.47317040702,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T00:30:28.215Z","priceCents":1,"iy":10021.854771162794,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T04:15:26.566Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3274.54777852385,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T04:45:27.381Z","priceCents":1,"iy":10026.776919128155,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T05:15:27.921Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4963.03737332253,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T05:30:58.658Z","priceCents":1,"iy":10027.667315104909,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T22:46:04.228Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4973.09772408136,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T07:00:31.301Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3331.065894043785,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T08:30:27.504Z","priceCents":2,"iy":5048.993730044688,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T07:46:15.979Z","priceCents":1,"iy":10229.009794485646,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-63","marketTitle":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-60","reason":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 20% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-61","reason":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 22% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-CAGOVR1SHILSHIL-62","reason":"Will Steve Hilton receive at least 24% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Steve%20Hilton%20receive%20at%20least%2026%25%20of%20the%20popular%20vote%20i","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":120}