{"ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":1,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":1,"spread":1,"volume":3999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2749,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":8136,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-24T22:01:25.269Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-15","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Rep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-20","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Rep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-30","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Rep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-35","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Rep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-40","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Rep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-45","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Rep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T16:46:14.871Z","priceCents":47,"iy":111.57833598027874,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T20:17:08.580Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1138.3421290997944,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T20:32:13.173Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4850.458874834566,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T21:02:03.668Z","priceCents":47,"iy":111.63220244824512,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T22:46:05.704Z","priceCents":48,"iy":107.2650905819216,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T08:01:07.369Z","priceCents":47,"iy":111.77104206144513,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T18:01:56.068Z","priceCents":48,"iy":107.49925690713877,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T18:15:58.838Z","priceCents":47,"iy":111.9007956785758,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-16T12:00:59.095Z","priceCents":52,"iy":107.71859951745701,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-16T20:16:15.969Z","priceCents":25,"iy":298.57746244604476,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-16T20:31:02.990Z","priceCents":51,"iy":103.59120633921421,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-16T21:01:59.951Z","priceCents":52,"iy":107.82904789564058,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T00:16:25.542Z","priceCents":51,"iy":103.63529107069647,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T00:45:57.318Z","priceCents":26,"iy":283.41108163561245,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T02:31:00.145Z","priceCents":47,"iy":112.31117411709602,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T05:46:19.991Z","priceCents":53,"iy":112.35256158322969,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T11:00:54.958Z","priceCents":49,"iy":103.76210223412654,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T16:46:26.452Z","priceCents":53,"iy":112.4935074178841,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T18:32:02.956Z","priceCents":51,"iy":103.8508845233395,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-17T20:01:59.321Z","priceCents":47,"iy":112.53502940017638,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T04:01:06.637Z","priceCents":48,"iy":108.21000357583321,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T04:31:35.347Z","priceCents":46,"iy":117.26440177604107,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T16:31:01.968Z","priceCents":47,"iy":112.79840630341636,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T17:46:02.408Z","priceCents":48,"iy":108.37995155907245,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T18:46:17.700Z","priceCents":47,"iy":112.82747160255897,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T19:16:46.143Z","priceCents":42,"iy":138.17852378080465,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T20:02:40.673Z","priceCents":47,"iy":112.84386608860122,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T22:01:58.572Z","priceCents":45,"iy":122.33450183349406,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T22:16:48.173Z","priceCents":13,"iy":669.8639282862727,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T22:31:09.798Z","priceCents":49,"iy":104.1829612866414,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T22:46:03.304Z","priceCents":12,"iy":734.0674007340675,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T23:03:01.044Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1568.2865132844975,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T23:32:13.638Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3236.8539662774756,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T00:03:06.033Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1330.0983085475418,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T00:32:35.728Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9911.921461703254,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["6 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-15","reason":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 15% of the popular v"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-20","reason":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 20% of the popular v"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-30","reason":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 30% of the popular v"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Michael%20Carbonara%20receive%20at%20least%2025%25%20of%20the%20popular%20v","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":493}