{"ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 0% and 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is 0% to 3.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":12,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":2168.9073757706306,"iyNo":3.7654641940462343,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":3000,"askDepthUsd":5645,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T16:52:49.324Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-6","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 4% and 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-10","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 8% and 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-14","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 12% and 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-18","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 16% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-22","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 20% and 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-26","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 24% and 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-30","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 28% and 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-66","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Califor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:10:21.984Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1708.1575298096268,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T03:35:37.931Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2160.6476023224495,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 2169%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 2.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-6","reason":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 4% and 8% of the popular"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-10","reason":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 8% and 12% of the popula"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-GOVCAPRIMARY26XBEC-14","reason":"Will Xavier Becerra receive between 12% and 16% of the popul"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Xavier%20Becerra%20receive%20between%200%25%20and%204%25%20of%20the%20popular","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2517}