{"ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-15","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ralph Norman in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":93,"bestBid":92,"bestAsk":93,"spread":1,"volume":5740.63,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2863.48,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":367,"iyYes":8.65970845252789,"iyNo":1145.2464428468147,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.38,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1377,"askDepthUsd":2279,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T02:36:31.041Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-10","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-20","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-25","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-30","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-35","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-40","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-45","connectedTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T21:16:53.601Z","priceCents":62,"iy":160.21821962229282,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T21:31:00.142Z","priceCents":53,"iy":110.7371914220436,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T21:47:12.886Z","priceCents":59,"iy":141.31768057098773,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T22:17:06.796Z","priceCents":63,"iy":167.22134411927365,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T23:00:58.008Z","priceCents":65,"iy":182.40402741941935,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T00:16:01.805Z","priceCents":63,"iy":167.2586972340452,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T01:15:55.859Z","priceCents":64,"iy":174.65269086264374,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T02:17:08.809Z","priceCents":65,"iy":182.47080467125264,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:17:29.578Z","priceCents":66,"iy":190.79160060768197,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:01:40.847Z","priceCents":67,"iy":199.83728644254168,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T06:02:54.283Z","priceCents":72,"iy":253.4412265166644,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T09:16:02.048Z","priceCents":74,"iy":280.61981967605186,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T10:15:57.517Z","priceCents":77,"iy":330.1193339400497,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T12:15:59.770Z","priceCents":79,"iy":371.0346197754054,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T15:30:58.073Z","priceCents":82,"iy":449.47593178778476,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:36.488Z","priceCents":83,"iy":481.81592198446754,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T02:46:39.245Z","priceCents":84,"iy":518.6511416414953,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:47:08.244Z","priceCents":83,"iy":482.49557957920064,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T15:01:36.770Z","priceCents":84,"iy":519.3694658185099,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T01:47:07.074Z","priceCents":83,"iy":483.5862417279934,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:15:54.487Z","priceCents":85,"iy":561.9371572228622,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T13:46:31.045Z","priceCents":86,"iy":609.2630498555352,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T14:16:58.318Z","priceCents":85,"iy":562.065429669808,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T15:03:04.138Z","priceCents":89,"iy":802.5910212584707,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T00:01:17.366Z","priceCents":90,"iy":893.6781452845897,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T02:16:54.913Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1142.2141675374442,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T15:00:58.380Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1321.4824896270738,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T16:45:57.143Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1144.0914728048306,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 84c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-15","marketTitle":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":84},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-10","reason":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 10% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-20","reason":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 20% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SCRSENS26RNORRNOR-25","reason":"Will Ralph Norman receive at least 25% of the popular vote i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ralph%20Norman%20receive%20at%20least%2015%25%20of%20the%20popular%20vote%20i","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":187}