{"ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-50","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 49% and 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 49% to 51.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":1,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":1,"spread":1,"volume":699.99,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":483.99,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":29671,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T23:45:27.101Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-21","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 0% and 43% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-44","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 43% and 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-47","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 46% and 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-53","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 52% and 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-56","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 55% and 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-59","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 58% and 61% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-62","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 61% and 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-82","connectedTitle":"Will Ken Paxton receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senat","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:46:12.689Z","priceCents":11,"iy":796.5211506585981,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T20:00:50.393Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1307.9700051209074,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:30:52.358Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1132.7389208823356,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T01:45:53.830Z","priceCents":9,"iy":996.07447992107,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:01:01.096Z","priceCents":10,"iy":887.1401141264572,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T16:01:09.136Z","priceCents":11,"iy":798.338492571778,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:31:02.423Z","priceCents":10,"iy":888.1907136078388,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T20:45:52.393Z","priceCents":11,"iy":798.7660374073803,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:46:15.563Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1135.8378139959032,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:16:05.148Z","priceCents":9,"iy":998.8269083939052,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:45:43.744Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1138.1445870684,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:46:02.058Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1001.0295098014398,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:15:27.690Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1142.4690941356428,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:15:24.273Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4905.739042660866,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:00:27.342Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9916.98113207547,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-21","reason":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 0% and 43% of the popular vo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-44","reason":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 43% and 46% of the popular v"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-47","reason":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 46% and 49% of the popular v"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ken%20Paxton%20receive%20between%2049%25%20and%2052%25%20of%20the%20popular%20v","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":679}