{"ticker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-JDV","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?","description":"If J.D. Vance accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":7,"spread":1,"volume":168792.69,"volume24h":202.58,"openInterest":116541.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":883,"iyYes":647.3477421506964,"iyNo":2.637451190292561,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.53,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2712,"askDepthUsd":28817,"volume24h":202.58,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T07:04:58.007Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-BD","connectedTitle":"Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican par","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-BK","connectedTitle":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican p","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR","connectedTitle":"Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-EKIR","connectedTitle":"Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-ES","connectedTitle":"Will Elise Stefanik be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-GA","connectedTitle":"Will Greg Abbott be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-GY","connectedTitle":"Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican pa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-JH","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Hawley be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-KB","connectedTitle":"Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-MG","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Gaetz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-MR","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-NH","connectedTitle":"Will Nikki Haley be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-RDS","connectedTitle":"Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican part","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-RFK","connectedTitle":"Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-SHS","connectedTitle":"Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Repub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-TC","connectedTitle":"Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-TGAB","connectedTitle":"Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican par","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXVPRESNOMR-28","groupLabel":"KXVPRESNOMR-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T20:50:28.682Z","priceCents":8,"iy":460.3748586520312,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T21:55:23.677Z","priceCents":7,"iy":531.8878894086853,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:00:20.680Z","priceCents":8,"iy":460.39960162683667,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:05:23.137Z","priceCents":7,"iy":531.8919732024847,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:10:29.095Z","priceCents":8,"iy":460.40313655463797,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:15:27.501Z","priceCents":7,"iy":531.8960570589948,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:20:22.126Z","priceCents":8,"iy":460.4066715367218,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T23:05:23.695Z","priceCents":7,"iy":531.9164772822537,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T23:10:23.757Z","priceCents":8,"iy":460.4243472614212,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:40:22.735Z","priceCents":7,"iy":531.954988255305,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:45:20.176Z","priceCents":8,"iy":460.4571772082747,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:50:31.741Z","priceCents":7,"iy":531.9590730795328,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T19:06:39.026Z","priceCents":8,"iy":461.350429586219,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T21:00:57.513Z","priceCents":7,"iy":533.0355641265572,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T13:01:08.931Z","priceCents":6,"iy":631.802092552101,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T15:01:06.282Z","priceCents":5,"iy":766.299189280872,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:30:28.148Z","priceCents":6,"iy":637.7769152639663,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:45:58.256Z","priceCents":5,"iy":773.555230839589,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T21:15:38.542Z","priceCents":6,"iy":638.3928056424173,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:15:25.893Z","priceCents":7,"iy":543.1407697030334,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T04:46:12.724Z","priceCents":6,"iy":640.7627448475653,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T11:00:25.289Z","priceCents":7,"iy":544.7619561166921,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T00:30:27.918Z","priceCents":6,"iy":644.2437543469084,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T19:45:33.003Z","priceCents":5,"iy":783.791175878897,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T21:45:25.124Z","priceCents":6,"iy":647.0767069736424,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 647%","18 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXVPRESNOMR-28-JDV","marketTitle":"Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVPRESNOMR-28-BD","reason":"Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Vice Presidency fo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVPRESNOMR-28-BK","reason":"Will Brian Kemp be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXVPRESNOMR-28-DJT","reason":"Will Donald J. Trump be the nominee for the Vice Presidency "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20J.D.%20Vance%20be%20the%20nominee%20for%20the%20Vice%20Presidency%20for%20t","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":193}