{"ticker":"KXWC-30-POR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Portugal win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?","description":"If Portugal is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":6,"spread":0,"volume":5489.5,"volume24h":266.44,"openInterest":5165.85,"status":"active","closeTime":"2031-01-15T03:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":1633,"iyYes":350.1970943133544,"iyNo":1.4267876182979582,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0},"computedAt":"2026-07-27T05:44:33.710Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-ALB","connectedTitle":"Will Albania win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Albania","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-ARG","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-BUR","connectedTitle":"Will Burkina Faso win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Burkina Faso","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Colombia win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-CRO","connectedTitle":"Will Croatia win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Croatia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-ECU","connectedTitle":"Will Ecuador win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Ecuador","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-GRE","connectedTitle":"Will Greece win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Greece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-HND","connectedTitle":"Will Honduras win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Honduras","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-ITA","connectedTitle":"Will Italy win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-JPN","connectedTitle":"Will Japan win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Morocco win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Morocco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Mexico win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-NED","connectedTitle":"Will Netherlands win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-PER","connectedTitle":"Will Peru win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Peru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-POL","connectedTitle":"Will Poland win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Poland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-SVK","connectedTitle":"Will Slovakia win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Slovakia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Uruguay win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWC-30-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWC-30","groupLabel":"KXWC-30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:02:31.333Z","priceCents":4,"iy":534.0926065365375,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:15:58.635Z","priceCents":3,"iy":719.5453765780004,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T00:15:58.619Z","priceCents":8,"iy":255.92733188058875,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T00:46:37.115Z","priceCents":1,"iy":2203.2287193470124,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T01:32:31.827Z","priceCents":3,"iy":719.5870560099087,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T01:45:59.011Z","priceCents":4,"iy":534.1297313315256,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T02:01:36.713Z","priceCents":5,"iy":422.8552822764796,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T04:00:57.546Z","priceCents":4,"iy":534.1600211712739,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T11:15:57.253Z","priceCents":5,"iy":422.9545709587864,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T15:45:57.744Z","priceCents":6,"iy":348.7920065126818,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-21T00:15:58.355Z","priceCents":5,"iy":423.09442784333476,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T06:02:37.509Z","priceCents":6,"iy":349.1316685318906,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T06:15:54.449Z","priceCents":5,"iy":423.41732891131363,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T06:32:31.100Z","priceCents":6,"iy":349.13614498338876,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T15:31:48.483Z","priceCents":5,"iy":423.5171403829547,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T23:16:00.801Z","priceCents":6,"iy":349.28457235189154,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 350%","25 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWC-30-POR","marketTitle":"Will Portugal win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWC-30-ALB","reason":"Will Albania win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Albania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWC-30-ARG","reason":"Will Argentina win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Argentina"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWC-30-BEL","reason":"Will Belgium win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?: Belgium"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Portugal%20win%20the%202030%20FIFA%20Men's%20World%20Cup%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":125}