{"ticker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-WALM","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final","description":"If Walmart aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":97,"bestBid":16,"bestAsk":95,"spread":79,"volume":603.72,"volume24h":292.58,"openInterest":147.15,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-07-19T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":388,"iyYes":493.6485814607104,"iyNo":17.910152615354573,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":5.125,"cvr":null,"overround":10.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":79,"bidDepthUsd":9999,"askDepthUsd":10251,"volume24h":292.58},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:39:31.792Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-AMAZ","connectedTitle":"Will Amazon advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Amazon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH","connectedTitle":"Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-APPL","connectedTitle":"Will Apple advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Apple","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-COIN","connectedTitle":"Will Coinbase advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Coinbase","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-DISN","connectedTitle":"Will Disney advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Disney","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR","connectedTitle":"Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-FORD","connectedTitle":"Will Ford advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Ford","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-GATO","connectedTitle":"Will Gatorade advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gatorade","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEIC","connectedTitle":"Will Geico advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Geico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI","connectedTitle":"Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-JEEP","connectedTitle":"Will Jeep advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Jeep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-LEGO","connectedTitle":"Will Lego advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Lego","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE","connectedTitle":"Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-NETF","connectedTitle":"Will Netflix advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Netflix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-NIKE","connectedTitle":"Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-OPEN","connectedTitle":"Will OpenAI / ChatGPT advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: OpenAI / ChatGP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS","connectedTitle":"Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-SAMS","connectedTitle":"Will Samsung advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Samsung","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-SKIM","connectedTitle":"Will Skims advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Skims","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCADS-26JUL19-TEMU","connectedTitle":"Will Temu advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Temu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCADS-26JUL19","groupLabel":"KXWCADS-26JUL19"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:31:04.379Z","priceCents":49,"iy":97.29048990818266,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:46:55.362Z","priceCents":50,"iy":93.59766339203061,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T15:02:00.691Z","priceCents":82,"iy":426.4002897185529,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:00:55.563Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1468.5966020672497,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:16:19.132Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1245.4376147475662,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:30:55.424Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1078.0677737996784,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:46:14.980Z","priceCents":12,"iy":687.4829306464138,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:02:31.146Z","priceCents":14,"iy":575.8948293854236,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:15:55.533Z","priceCents":17,"iy":457.7339126813824,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:31:33.990Z","priceCents":43,"iy":124.28038491137565,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:45:55.019Z","priceCents":44,"iy":119.32809177100872,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:15:56.868Z","priceCents":45,"iy":114.77091696388477,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:31:11.610Z","priceCents":48,"iy":101.73138455020793,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:46:05.572Z","priceCents":47,"iy":105.89687675103458,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:30:57.394Z","priceCents":46,"iy":110.24926626344487,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:30:59.278Z","priceCents":49,"iy":97.75991414983247,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:46:23.986Z","priceCents":51,"iy":97.76242989031545,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:16:07.506Z","priceCents":50,"iy":93.93368539163913,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:30:55.612Z","priceCents":53,"iy":105.92794577978574,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:46:48.876Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1784.836482212116,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:16:38.130Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2254.6521504130956,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T02:46:41.200Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1785.2178300400542,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:16:02.358Z","priceCents":14,"iy":577.2068923541324,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:31:20.665Z","priceCents":18,"iy":428.06884456881755,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:01:44.964Z","priceCents":19,"iy":400.6159987587883,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:15:58.007Z","priceCents":14,"iy":577.2678221095598,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:46:58.864Z","priceCents":18,"iy":428.127260077083,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T05:30:56.485Z","priceCents":17,"iy":458.8748470543401,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T05:46:29.677Z","priceCents":24,"iy":297.63207611141013,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T06:16:59.923Z","priceCents":20,"iy":375.97663794479837,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T06:31:23.118Z","priceCents":23,"iy":314.6842028418206,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T07:15:56.563Z","priceCents":21,"iy":353.6344137609716,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T07:31:06.875Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1472.7723834788508,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T08:15:56.932Z","priceCents":24,"iy":297.71180467014744,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T08:31:29.470Z","priceCents":13,"iy":629.1901428264596,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T09:01:29.305Z","priceCents":16,"iy":493.6155195552888,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 494%","20 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3","illiquid (LAS 5.13)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCADS-26JUL19-AMAZ","reason":"Will Amazon advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Amazo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH","reason":"Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCADS-26JUL19-APPL","reason":"Will Apple advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Apple"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Walmart%20advertise%20during%20the%202026%20World%20Cup%20Final","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":119}