{"ticker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-CRO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Croatia win the Fair Play Award?","description":"If Croatia wins the Fair Play Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":4,"spread":4,"volume":235.63,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":235.63,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":35,"iyYes":11832.943365376485,"iyNo":89.4740519121095,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":1.42,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":632,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:51:17.494Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-AUT","connectedTitle":"Will Austria win the Fair Play Award?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium win the Fair Play Award?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil win the Fair Play Award?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Canada win the Fair Play Award?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-COD","connectedTitle":"Will Congo DR win the Fair Play Award?: Congo DR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Colombia win the Fair Play Award?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-CPV","connectedTitle":"Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award?: Cape Verde","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-CUW","connectedTitle":"Will Curacao win the Fair Play Award?: Curacao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England win the Fair Play Award?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain win the Fair Play Award?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France win the Fair Play Award?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany win the Fair Play Award?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-HTI","connectedTitle":"Will Haiti win the Fair Play Award?: Haiti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran win the Fair Play Award?: IR Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will Iraq win the Fair Play Award?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-JOR","connectedTitle":"Will Jordan win the Fair Play Award?: Jordan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-JPN","connectedTitle":"Will Japan win the Fair Play Award?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-KOR","connectedTitle":"Will Korea Republic win the Fair Play Award?: Korea Republic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Morocco win the Fair Play Award?: Morocco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Mexico win the Fair Play Award?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway win the Fair Play Award?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-NZL","connectedTitle":"Will New Zealand win the Fair Play Award?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Portugal win the Fair Play Award?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-SCO","connectedTitle":"Will Scotland win the Fair Play Award?: Scotland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-SEN","connectedTitle":"Will Senegal win the Fair Play Award?: Senegal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-SUI","connectedTitle":"Will Switzerland win the Fair Play Award?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-SWE","connectedTitle":"Will Sweden win the Fair Play Award?: Sweden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Fair Play Award?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-TUR","connectedTitle":"Will Turkiye win the Fair Play Award?: Turkiye","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA win the Fair Play Award?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA-UZB","connectedTitle":"Will Uzbekistan win the Fair Play Award?: Uzbekistan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26FPA","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26FPA"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T23:15:22.595Z","priceCents":3,"iy":17986.50694465612,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:45:27.834Z","priceCents":2,"iy":27370.95021654959,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T15:45:24.985Z","priceCents":1,"iy":58350.96161609638,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T15:30:24.619Z","priceCents":1,"iy":66994.82729851494,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T23:31:17.987Z","priceCents":6,"iy":10870.736143059012,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T14:15:29.479Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34401.508011310085,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T16:45:33.438Z","priceCents":6,"iy":11021.168610067136,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T19:45:27.689Z","priceCents":2,"iy":34553.709428129834,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:30:29.836Z","priceCents":6,"iy":11208.022997517313,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:46:42.496Z","priceCents":8,"iy":8623.34620757663,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T23:15:34.302Z","priceCents":1,"iy":74330.4397910067,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T23:31:55.709Z","priceCents":8,"iy":8636.298170894801,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:01:04.724Z","priceCents":1,"iy":74377.86880184426,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:15:31.613Z","priceCents":8,"iy":8641.632182488212,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:45:36.964Z","priceCents":3,"iy":24307.271928379196,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T02:00:34.436Z","priceCents":8,"iy":8654.639175257733,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T06:15:41.862Z","priceCents":1,"iy":74779.60349323289,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T08:00:45.345Z","priceCents":2,"iy":37068.12576426454,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T09:00:50.295Z","priceCents":8,"iy":8707.06106870229,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 11833%","31 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26FPA-AUT","reason":"Will Austria win the Fair Play Award?: Austria"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26FPA-BEL","reason":"Will Belgium win the Fair Play Award?: Belgium"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26FPA-BRA","reason":"Will Brazil win the Fair Play Award?: Brazil"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Croatia%20win%20the%20Fair%20Play%20Award%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":181}