{"ticker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-KMBAP","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Kylian Mbappe win the Golden Ball?","description":"If Kylian Mbappe wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":12,"spread":4,"volume":1300.54,"volume24h":149.16,"openInterest":1246.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":64,"iyYes":6587.103557585174,"iyNo":49.80796640896161,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.375,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1473,"askDepthUsd":1226,"volume24h":149.16},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:49:38.294Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-BFERN","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball?: Bruno Fernandes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-CRONA","connectedTitle":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball?: Cristiano Ronaldo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-DDOUE","connectedTitle":"Will Desire Doue win the Golden Ball?: Desire Doue","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-EHAAL","connectedTitle":"Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball?: Erling Haaland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-GAVI","connectedTitle":"Will Gavi win the Golden Ball?: Gavi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-HKANE","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball?: Harry Kane","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-JDOKU","connectedTitle":"Will Jeremy Doku win the Golden Ball?: Jeremy Doku","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-LMESS","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball?: Lionel Messi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-LYAMA","connectedTitle":"Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball?: Lamine Yamal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-MOLIS","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball?: Michael Olise","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-MOYAR","connectedTitle":"Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Golden Ball?: Mikel Oyarzabal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-NEYMA","connectedTitle":"Will Neymar win the Golden Ball?: Neymar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-ODEMB","connectedTitle":"Will Ousmane Dembele win the Golden Ball?: Ousmane Dembele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-PEDRI","connectedTitle":"Will Pedri win the Golden Ball?: Pedri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-RCHER","connectedTitle":"Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball?: Rayan Cherki","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-RODRI","connectedTitle":"Will Rodri win the Golden Ball?: Rodri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Golden Ball?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T03:45:45.876Z","priceCents":3,"iy":15856.700749280055,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T05:00:52.536Z","priceCents":2,"iy":24047.382149675963,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T16:16:22.886Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9383.668222718354,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T23:45:45.473Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7770.213652566594,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T14:16:19.913Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6643.8582721858265,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T14:30:47.726Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7835.587406422853,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T20:15:42.060Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9534.087628369924,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T07:46:58.481Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7913.662427287028,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:16:18.724Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9661.46558930064,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T20:17:04.027Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6759.71690636164,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:45:54.246Z","priceCents":8,"iy":5890.401347179342,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:00:40.436Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5247.260255577831,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T07:15:21.032Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4674.093994109361,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:00:23.812Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4206.332352697439,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T10:15:23.720Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4682.4220309025595,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:31:20.555Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5264.475921937087,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:45:21.856Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4686.630619320046,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T12:00:59.147Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5265.978276551455,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T13:15:41.102Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4690.779797518242,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:30:22.766Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6929.629909380977,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:02.113Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4235.288289040011,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:16:01.853Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6957.667782380465,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:15:28.061Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5378.720895962275,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:45:27.371Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4789.118423162714,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T16:45:32.505Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6183.251086396111,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:15:41.654Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5638.998816684578,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:15:39.196Z","priceCents":7,"iy":7418.893755409266,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T07:15:43.382Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6429.895375377216,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:00:25.043Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5663.3145437122985,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:16:35.366Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6442.329828869619,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:15:43.906Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5671.495505832856,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T13:00:23.381Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6453.621561784106,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:00:24.257Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5685.124708169876,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:15:22.717Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6471.232116428218,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5075.00502093343,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.684Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6485.830835316294,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:45:23.951Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5706.1328688027525,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.788Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5126.244499235355,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:48.608Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5766.583158417407,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:30:42.222Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5134.497256912425,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.161Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5773.077972618074,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:24.477Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6568.240853753951,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:45:39.030Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5788.19880105953,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:30:42.719Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6586.483390607103,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 6587%","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.38)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-BFERN","reason":"Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball?: Bruno Fernandes"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-CRONA","reason":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball?: Cristiano Ronal"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-DDOUE","reason":"Will Desire Doue win the Golden Ball?: Desire Doue"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kylian%20Mbappe%20win%20the%20Golden%20Ball%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":184}