{"ticker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-LMESS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball?","description":"If Lionel Messi wins the Golden Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":13,"spread":5,"volume":783.81,"volume24h":33.68,"openInterest":783.81,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-31T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":64,"iyYes":6582.7648396455725,"iyNo":49.77515946801945,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":2121,"askDepthUsd":4257,"volume24h":33.68},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:06:54.839Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-BFERN","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball?: Bruno Fernandes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-CRONA","connectedTitle":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball?: Cristiano Ronaldo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-DDOUE","connectedTitle":"Will Desire Doue win the Golden Ball?: Desire Doue","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-EHAAL","connectedTitle":"Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball?: Erling Haaland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-GAVI","connectedTitle":"Will Gavi win the Golden Ball?: Gavi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-HKANE","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball?: Harry Kane","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-JDOKU","connectedTitle":"Will Jeremy Doku win the Golden Ball?: Jeremy Doku","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-KMBAP","connectedTitle":"Will Kylian Mbappe win the Golden Ball?: Kylian Mbappe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-LYAMA","connectedTitle":"Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball?: Lamine Yamal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-MOLIS","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball?: Michael Olise","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-MOYAR","connectedTitle":"Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Golden Ball?: Mikel Oyarzabal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-NEYMA","connectedTitle":"Will Neymar win the Golden Ball?: Neymar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-ODEMB","connectedTitle":"Will Ousmane Dembele win the Golden Ball?: Ousmane Dembele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-PEDRI","connectedTitle":"Will Pedri win the Golden Ball?: Pedri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-RCHER","connectedTitle":"Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball?: Rayan Cherki","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-RODRI","connectedTitle":"Will Rodri win the Golden Ball?: Rodri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Golden Ball?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCAWARD-26GBALL","groupLabel":"KXWCAWARD-26GBALL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:02.113Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4711.163377696191,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T21:16:01.853Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16932.818724861423,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:01:08.620Z","priceCents":2,"iy":25687.981155923244,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:16:07.820Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16953.007536798155,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T03:30:59.467Z","priceCents":2,"iy":25757.161167677175,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:15:27.690Z","priceCents":3,"iy":17252.38526834878,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T16:45:32.505Z","priceCents":2,"iy":26346.026368122555,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:30:42.430Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13395.519535132655,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:45:55.705Z","priceCents":3,"iy":18049.501669598023,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T07:15:43.382Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13418.912087743753,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T09:16:29.932Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10636.992499654889,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:15:23.704Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13513.72198139549,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:00:37.157Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10717.376522222909,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:15:34.506Z","priceCents":6,"iy":8849.9912299708,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:45:25.955Z","priceCents":7,"iy":7512.216065010709,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:00:44.402Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6511.992305066865,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:00:23.591Z","priceCents":7,"iy":7532.871012482661,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:45:22.133Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6540.505165401934,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 6583%","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-BFERN","reason":"Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball?: Bruno Fernandes"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-CRONA","reason":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball?: Cristiano Ronal"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL-DDOUE","reason":"Will Desire Doue win the Golden Ball?: Desire Doue"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lionel%20Messi%20win%20the%20Golden%20Ball%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":160}