{"ticker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-TUR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Turkiye be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","description":"If Turkiye is the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":3,"spread":3,"volume":1002.82,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1002.82,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-02T22:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":66,"iyYes":17871.565004946795,"iyNo":17.094705605752065,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.14,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:18:47.498Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-AUT","connectedTitle":"Will Austria be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-CRO","connectedTitle":"Will Croatia be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Worl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-NED","connectedTitle":"Will Netherlands be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIF","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA Wor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Portugal be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA W","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 17872%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 1.00)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-AUT","reason":"Will Austria be the furthest advancing European nation in th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-BEL","reason":"Will Belgium be the furthest advancing European nation in th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-CRO","reason":"Will Croatia be the furthest advancing European nation in th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Turkiye%20be%20the%20furthest%20advancing%20European%20nation%20in%20th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}