{"ticker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-ECU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ecuador be the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","description":"If Ecuador is the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":7,"spread":2,"volume":308.04,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":308.04,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-02T22:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":66,"iyYes":10518.412910271185,"iyNo":29.136877867787227,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":7860,"askDepthUsd":10876,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T23:40:44.194Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-ARG","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina be the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil be the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's FI","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Colombia be the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-PAR","connectedTitle":"Will Paraguay be the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Uruguay be the furthest advancing South American nation in the 2026 Men's F","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA","groupLabel":"KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T06:00:54.865Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16020.506972913785,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T16:31:37.854Z","priceCents":4,"iy":11962.637242584804,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:45:58.373Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9509.639908948797,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:39.156Z","priceCents":4,"iy":12022.5628920028,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:00:32.421Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9609.788543081228,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:00:51.308Z","priceCents":4,"iy":12381.800449476319,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:46:10.907Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9893.997974120095,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":6,"iy":8526.93527382621,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:00:24.185Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10487.712665406425,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 10518%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.40)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-ARG","reason":"Will Argentina be the furthest advancing South American nati"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-BRA","reason":"Will Brazil be the furthest advancing South American nation "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26SA-COL","reason":"Will Colombia be the furthest advancing South American natio"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ecuador%20be%20the%20furthest%20advancing%20South%20American%20nation","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":145}