{"ticker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-EHAA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Erling Haaland lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","description":"If Erling Haaland leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":7,"spread":1,"volume":277147.67,"volume24h":6465.39,"openInterest":269666.41,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-07T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":60,"iyYes":9495.264821303046,"iyNo":38.686004251574204,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.48,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T08:46:38.109Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0xe7fa55fca14e385bda2b593ede9336c257e9538682e277926d957984f9e2eb05","venue":"polymarket","title":"World Cup: Most Goal Contributions: Erling Haaland","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-AMOR","connectedTitle":"Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BFER","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Fernandes lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BSAK","connectedTitle":"Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CGAK","connectedTitle":"Will Cody Gakpo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CPUL","connectedTitle":"Will Christian Pulisic lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CRON","connectedTitle":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-DNUN","connectedTitle":"Will Darwin Nunez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-FTOR","connectedTitle":"Will Ferran Torres lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HKAN","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Kane lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HSON","connectedTitle":"Will Son Heung-min lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-JALV","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Alvarez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-JDAV","connectedTitle":"Will Jonathan David lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-KMBA","connectedTitle":"Will Kylian Mbappe lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LDIA","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Diaz lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourname","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMAR","connectedTitle":"Will Lautaro Martinez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full T","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMES","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LYAM","connectedTitle":"Will Lamine Yamal lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MCUN","connectedTitle":"Will Matheus Cunha lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MDEP","connectedTitle":"Will Memphis Depay lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MOYA","connectedTitle":"Will Mikel Oyarzabal lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MSAL","connectedTitle":"Will Mohamed Salah lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-NEYM","connectedTitle":"Will Neymar lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-NWOL","connectedTitle":"Will Nick Woltemade lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-ODEM","connectedTitle":"Will Ousmane Dembele lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-PFOD","connectedTitle":"Will Phil Foden lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RAPH","connectedTitle":"Will Raphinha lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournamen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RICH","connectedTitle":"Will Richarlison lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RKOL","connectedTitle":"Will Randal Kolo Muani lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RLUK","connectedTitle":"Will Romelu Lukaku lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RODR","connectedTitle":"Will Rodrygo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-SMCT","connectedTitle":"Will Scott McTominay lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-VJUN","connectedTitle":"Will Vinicius Junior lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T18:00:43.826Z","priceCents":5,"iy":8372.267091618074,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T18:15:46.285Z","priceCents":6,"iy":6904.365184773771,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T09:30:49.161Z","priceCents":5,"iy":8438.074147979605,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:16:09.833Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7254.742753715121,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T10:45:22.251Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9108.819859460167,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T14:45:36.907Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7627.6989293209535,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T15:30:23.655Z","priceCents":8,"iy":5601.371818994622,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T16:30:24.486Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7635.031688385672,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:00:26.574Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6505.528117795191,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T03:45:43.205Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7683.143662022293,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:01:55.473Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6750.871080139372,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:15:24.837Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7971.024593782088,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:15:34.261Z","priceCents":7,"iy":7163.115179600156,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T22:00:35.549Z","priceCents":6,"iy":8450.822175587937,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T03:15:51.490Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10436.889551070775,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T05:45:26.167Z","priceCents":6,"iy":8887.2656440224,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T12:15:44.086Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10823.76076913472,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:30:36.638Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9020.164576596471,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:45:22.543Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10941.074386684546,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T06:30:32.201Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9031.989722854014,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T07:30:36.289Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10960.96096096096,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T03:30:25.146Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9158.56516702169,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T05:15:30.585Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11120.197549868513,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T05:30:24.112Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9170.756219862933,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 9495%","32 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 6c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-EHAA","marketTitle":"Will Erling Haaland lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":6},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe7fa55fca14e385bda2b593ede9336c257e9538682e277926d957984f9e2eb05","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-AMOR","reason":"Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BFER","reason":"Will Bruno Fernandes lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BSAK","reason":"Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 W"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Erling%20Haaland%20lead%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20in%20Goals%20for%20the%20202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":122}