{"ticker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMES","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Lionel Messi lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","description":"If Lionel Messi leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":133727.12,"volume24h":1372.65,"openInterest":131202.03,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-07T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":60,"iyYes":14545.9375985919,"iyNo":25.253363886444273,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.48,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T08:46:17.840Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-AMOR","connectedTitle":"Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BFER","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Fernandes lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BSAK","connectedTitle":"Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CGAK","connectedTitle":"Will Cody Gakpo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CPUL","connectedTitle":"Will Christian Pulisic lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CRON","connectedTitle":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-DNUN","connectedTitle":"Will Darwin Nunez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-EHAA","connectedTitle":"Will Erling Haaland lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-FTOR","connectedTitle":"Will Ferran Torres lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HKAN","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Kane lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HSON","connectedTitle":"Will Son Heung-min lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-JALV","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Alvarez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-JDAV","connectedTitle":"Will Jonathan David lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-KMBA","connectedTitle":"Will Kylian Mbappe lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LDIA","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Diaz lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourname","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMAR","connectedTitle":"Will Lautaro Martinez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full T","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LYAM","connectedTitle":"Will Lamine Yamal lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MCUN","connectedTitle":"Will Matheus Cunha lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MDEP","connectedTitle":"Will Memphis Depay lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MOYA","connectedTitle":"Will Mikel Oyarzabal lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MSAL","connectedTitle":"Will Mohamed Salah lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-NEYM","connectedTitle":"Will Neymar lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-NWOL","connectedTitle":"Will Nick Woltemade lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-ODEM","connectedTitle":"Will Ousmane Dembele lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-PFOD","connectedTitle":"Will Phil Foden lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RAPH","connectedTitle":"Will Raphinha lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournamen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RICH","connectedTitle":"Will Richarlison lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RKOL","connectedTitle":"Will Randal Kolo Muani lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RLUK","connectedTitle":"Will Romelu Lukaku lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RODR","connectedTitle":"Will Rodrygo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-SMCT","connectedTitle":"Will Scott McTominay lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-VJUN","connectedTitle":"Will Vinicius Junior lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T14:16:21.366Z","priceCents":1,"iy":44072.98540048055,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T22:01:02.758Z","priceCents":2,"iy":21900.17877696961,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T02:15:47.656Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14482.527294072412,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T13:01:11.627Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22069.076146641826,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T13:15:42.361Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14564.384823915128,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T03:46:02.987Z","priceCents":4,"iy":10892.00009947032,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:15:53.963Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14685.26537587311,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T13:30:43.711Z","priceCents":4,"iy":10947.26318420395,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T04:45:27.019Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7585.505516128319,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T02:00:24.373Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9308.724832214764,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:00:25.548Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7684.279366444493,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T05:45:33.700Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9328.383304413324,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T00:30:25.780Z","priceCents":4,"iy":12414.614098239846,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T14:30:55.066Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16864.583184479157,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T15:16:10.796Z","priceCents":4,"iy":12523.767995768225,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T23:30:53.858Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16955.44317376396,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:31:28.716Z","priceCents":4,"iy":12942.115060721566,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T08:15:28.581Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10313.954698909856,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T04:00:25.787Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13189.592869188149,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T08:15:26.285Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10469.662887422814,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T01:30:29.419Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13369.963369963372,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T08:15:54.717Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10630.14454544061,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T22:00:26.913Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13546.531407540286,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 14546%","32 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-AMOR","reason":"Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BFER","reason":"Will Bruno Fernandes lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BSAK","reason":"Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 W"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lionel%20Messi%20lead%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20in%20Goals%20for%20the%202026%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":173}