{"ticker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RAPH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Raphinha lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","description":"If Raphinha leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":5,"spread":2,"volume":23844.09,"volume24h":93.6,"openInterest":20352.57,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-07T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":71,"iyYes":16691.88954735537,"iyNo":15.966309483069224,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.43,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":18645,"askDepthUsd":16147,"volume24h":93.6},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:14:56.166Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-AMOR","connectedTitle":"Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BFER","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Fernandes lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BSAK","connectedTitle":"Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CGAK","connectedTitle":"Will Cody Gakpo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CPUL","connectedTitle":"Will Christian Pulisic lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CRON","connectedTitle":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-DNUN","connectedTitle":"Will Darwin Nunez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-EHAA","connectedTitle":"Will Erling Haaland lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-FTOR","connectedTitle":"Will Ferran Torres lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HKAN","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Kane lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-HSON","connectedTitle":"Will Son Heung-min lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-JALV","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Alvarez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-JDAV","connectedTitle":"Will Jonathan David lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-KMBA","connectedTitle":"Will Kylian Mbappe lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LDIA","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Diaz lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourname","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMAR","connectedTitle":"Will Lautaro Martinez lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full T","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LMES","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-LYAM","connectedTitle":"Will Lamine Yamal lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MCUN","connectedTitle":"Will Matheus Cunha lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MDEP","connectedTitle":"Will Memphis Depay lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MOYA","connectedTitle":"Will Mikel Oyarzabal lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-MSAL","connectedTitle":"Will Mohamed Salah lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-NEYM","connectedTitle":"Will Neymar lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-NWOL","connectedTitle":"Will Nick Woltemade lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-ODEM","connectedTitle":"Will Ousmane Dembele lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-PFOD","connectedTitle":"Will Phil Foden lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RICH","connectedTitle":"Will Richarlison lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tourna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RKOL","connectedTitle":"Will Randal Kolo Muani lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RLUK","connectedTitle":"Will Romelu Lukaku lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tour","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-RODR","connectedTitle":"Will Rodrygo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-SMCT","connectedTitle":"Will Scott McTominay lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26-VJUN","connectedTitle":"Will Vinicius Junior lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full To","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGOALLEADER-26","groupLabel":"KXWCGOALLEADER-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T16:16:06.383Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14408.969741367031,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T17:01:59.530Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22114.64747632119,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T17:16:09.564Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14594.463131512992,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T22:46:05.039Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22180.19470453277,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T23:01:03.720Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14637.907653634982,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:01:07.013Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22194.50752640135,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:15:47.632Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14647.354746893048,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:31:12.244Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22200.292942081876,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T08:15:58.056Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14708.142756847255,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:01:44.596Z","priceCents":4,"iy":10996.045942383731,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:16:14.578Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14823.60723825793,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T06:30:36.312Z","priceCents":4,"iy":11044.986887230181,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T17:15:43.193Z","priceCents":3,"iy":14964.580374653411,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T08:16:06.628Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22859.443500044737,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:15:58.385Z","priceCents":3,"iy":15132.475947462677,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T15:31:07.574Z","priceCents":4,"iy":11239.8475691905,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T15:45:46.959Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22950.96693058888,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:31:06.040Z","priceCents":3,"iy":15191.301848014042,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T03:15:21.977Z","priceCents":2,"iy":23394.987442444544,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:30:34.541Z","priceCents":3,"iy":15481.859484798,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T16:15:36.675Z","priceCents":4,"iy":11540.589676705398,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:30:29.424Z","priceCents":3,"iy":15592.726183712748,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:16:15.500Z","priceCents":4,"iy":11747.03642117685,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T16:15:53.498Z","priceCents":3,"iy":15968.482486762463,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:15:27.454Z","priceCents":4,"iy":11926.805358893367,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:00:26.728Z","priceCents":3,"iy":16084.043157296992,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 16692%","32 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-AMOR","reason":"Will Alvaro Morata lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BFER","reason":"Will Bruno Fernandes lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGOALLEADER-26-BSAK","reason":"Will Bukayo Saka lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 W"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Raphinha%20lead%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20in%20Goals%20for%20the%202026%20Worl","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":151}